Vegetation Fire Behavior Prediction in Russia

  • Aleksandra V. VolokitinaEmail author
  • Tatiana M. Sofronova
  • Mikhail A. Korets
Conference paper


The systems for vegetation (including forest) fire behavior prediction in the USA and Canada are analyzed. The conclusion is drawn about the complexity of their use in other countries due to natural differences and historically established different approaches to the classification of vegetation. Russia has all the prerequisites to develop a system for fire behavior prediction. Developed are guidelines for improving forest fire danger rating and fire hazard assessment; classification of vegetation fuels and methods of their mapping; a registered software for automatized vegetation fuel mapping; an example of a map for the nature reserve Stolby. A fire spread model is selected based on the availability of the input data. A fire behavior prediction software program is developed to predict spread of tactical fire parts over the area, fire intensity, development of the fire (from the surface fire to the crown or ground one) and immediate fire effects. In addition, the program allows you to calculate the manpower and means for fire suppression. The results of a retrospective software performance test are given on the example of the nature reserve Stolby. The software performance test is planned to be carried out on active fires with the participation of forest fire protection experts.


Vegetation fires Vegetation fuel maps Fire behavior prediction Fire effects 


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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020

Authors and Affiliations

  • Aleksandra V. Volokitina
    • 1
    Email author
  • Tatiana M. Sofronova
    • 2
  • Mikhail A. Korets
    • 1
  1. 1.Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RASKrasnoyarskRussia
  2. 2.Astafiev Krasnoyarsk, State Pedagogical UniversityKrasnoyarskRussia

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