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Assessing Reliability and Challenges of Uncertainty Estimations for Medical Image Segmentation

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Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention – MICCAI 2019 (MICCAI 2019)

Abstract

Despite the recent improvements in overall accuracy, deep learning systems still exhibit low levels of robustness. Detecting possible failures is critical for a successful clinical integration of these systems, where each data point corresponds to an individual patient. Uncertainty measures are a promising direction to improve failure detection since they provide a measure of a system’s confidence. Although many uncertainty estimation methods have been proposed for deep learning, little is known on their benefits and current challenges for medical image segmentation. Therefore, we report results of evaluating common voxel-wise uncertainty measures with respect to their reliability, and limitations on two medical image segmentation datasets. Results show that current uncertainty methods perform similarly and although they are well-calibrated at the dataset level, they tend to be miscalibrated at subject-level. Therefore, the reliability of uncertainty estimates is compromised, highlighting the importance of developing subject-wise uncertainty estimations. Additionally, among the benchmarked methods, we found auxiliary networks to be a valid alternative to common uncertainty methods since they can be applied to any previously trained segmentation model.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    For simplicity, we use voxel even if it could be a two-dimensional image.

  2. 2.

    Code available at https://github.com/alainjungo/reliability-challenges-uncertainty.

  3. 3.

    We also conducted experiments with a DenseNet-like architecture with no notable differences in the outcome and therefore omit it here for space and clarity reasons.

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Acknowledgments

This work was supported by the Swiss National Foundation by grant number 169607. The authors thank Fabian Balsiger for the valuable discussions.

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Correspondence to Alain Jungo .

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Jungo, A., Reyes, M. (2019). Assessing Reliability and Challenges of Uncertainty Estimations for Medical Image Segmentation. In: Shen, D., et al. Medical Image Computing and Computer Assisted Intervention – MICCAI 2019. MICCAI 2019. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11765. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32245-8_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-32245-8_6

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