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Modelling Wind Speed Using Mixture Distributions in the Tangier Region

  • Fatima BahraouiEmail author
  • Hind Sefian
  • Zuhair Bahraoui
Conference paper
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 912)

Abstract

The main objective of this research is to improve the predictability of wind generation, these include to propose a probabilistic prediction approach of the moment of appearance of these variations. In this perspective, we will compare the adjustment of wind speed distribution by Weibull distribution and two mixture distribution function as a solid alternative model to the eolian energy models. First with the mixture of the Weibull and Pareto distribution, and second with Lognormal and Pareto distribution. Our aim is to capture the outlier if there exists in the data and gives a most precise predictive estimation of the power density energy, evaluate the wind potential and predict the electrical energy produced in the site in order to size a wind farm on a site in Tangier while based on a judicious choice of wind turbines.

Keywords

Wind speed Wind power density Wind variation Statistical analysis Weibull Lognormal Pareto Probability density function 

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Faculty of Sciences and TechniquesTangierMorocco
  2. 2.University of Chouaib Doukali, ESTEl JadidaMorocco

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