Modeling 911 Emergency Events in Cuenca-Ecuador Using Geo-Spatial Data

  • Pablo Robles
  • Andrés Tello
  • Miguel Zúñiga-Prieto
  • Lizandro Solano-Quinde
Conference paper
Part of the Communications in Computer and Information Science book series (CCIS, volume 895)


We present several techniques for modeling emergency events using data from 911 emergency calls in the city of Cuenca-Ecuador. We apply three types of models. First, we use a probabilistic description of events using Gaussian kernels based on both, regular segmentation and mixture models, to represent the spatial distribution of occurrences. Second, we verify the qualitative relation of the clusters obtained with our kernel model with respect to the geo-political organization of the city. Finally, we develop an emergency model using a large dataset corresponding to the period January 1st 2015 through December 31st 2016 and test various data mining algorithms for prediction purposes. We verify the usefulness of our approach experimentally.


911 calls Emergency calls Kernel models GMM 



This article is part of the project “Análisis predictivo de la ocurrencia de eventos de emergencia en la provincia del Azuay”, winner of the“XV Concurso Universitario de Proyectos de Investigación” funded by the Dirección de Investigación de la Universidad de Cuenca. The authors also thank the Servicio Integrado de Seguridad ECU911 - Zona 6 for their collaboration and data provided.


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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Pablo Robles
    • 1
  • Andrés Tello
    • 1
  • Miguel Zúñiga-Prieto
    • 1
  • Lizandro Solano-Quinde
    • 1
  1. 1.Universidad de CuencaCuencaEcuador

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