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Analysis of Prediction Models for Wind Power Density, Case Study: Ercan Area, Northern Cyprus

  • Youssef KassemEmail author
  • Hüseyin Gökçekuş
  • Hüseyin Çamur
Conference paper
Part of the Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing book series (AISC, volume 896)

Abstract

This work focuses on the application of Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLPNN), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RPFNN) and Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) as predictive tools for the production of wind power density (WPD). The air temperature (AT), dew point (DP), atmospheric humidity (AH), pressure (P) and wind speed (WS) were used as the input variables for the models. Moreover, the performance of the models based on the R-squared value is presented. The results demonstrated that the MLPNN and ARIMA have the best accuracy for the prediction of WPD with the highest correlation coefficient of 0.99 compared to RPFNN. Consequently, it can be concluded that the MLPNN models developed in this study can be attractive for their incorporation in simulators.

Keywords

ARIMA MLPNN RPFNN Wind power density 

Notes

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the Faculty of Engineering, particularly the Civil Engineering Department and Mechanical Engineering Department of Near East University for their support and encouragement.

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Youssef Kassem
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Hüseyin Gökçekuş
    • 1
  • Hüseyin Çamur
    • 2
  1. 1.Faculty of Civil and Environmental EngineeringNear East UniversityNicosiaTurkey
  2. 2.Faculty of Engineering, Mechanical Engineering DepartmentNear East UniversityNicosiaTurkey

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