The Impact of Intergenerationally-Transmitted Fertility and Nuptiality on Population Dynamics in Contemporary Populations



There are intergenerational continuities in contemporary fertility, mortality and partnership behaviors due to genetic and environmental factors. If persistent, these would be expected over time to lead to a proportionate increase in those with a higher than average propensity to reproduce, and consequently to lead to higher population growth (or lower decline) than would otherwise be the case. We use three scenarios of fertility transmission to investigate the differences in long run population dynamics under models of intergenerationally correlated fertility and partnership behaviors:
  1. (1)

    fertility is not heritable;

  2. (2)

    daughters’ fertility is partly correlated with mother’s fertility;

  3. (3)

    daughters have the same fertility propensity (fecundability) as their mothers.



contemporary population dynamics Fisher’s fundamental theorem intergenerational fertility transmission microsimulation long term population trends 


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