Dendroclimatology pp 37-75

Part of the Developments in Paleoenvironmental Research book series (DPER, volume 11)

How Well Understood Are the Processes that Create Dendroclimatic Records? A Mechanistic Model of the Climatic Control on Conifer Tree-Ring Growth Dynamics

  • Eugene A. Vaganov
  • Kevin J. Anchukaitis
  • Michael N. Evans


We develop an observational and conceptual basis for modeling conifer cambial processes as a direct but nonlinear and multivariate response to external environmental conditions. The model, here termed Vaganov–Shashkin (VS), reproduces the critical features linking climate variability to tree-ring proxy formation. We discuss recent test simulations of tree-ring width data from a variety of sites and spatiotemporal scales. Our experiments demonstrate that the model skillfully reproduces observed patterns of tree-ring growth across a range of environments, species, and scales. Model performance is found to be robust to parameter estimation. We discuss present and future applications of the VS model, including exploration of the biological basis of emergent phenomena and prediction of the influence of climate change on conifer tree growth dynamics.


Tree growth Biological basis Cambium Simulation Process model 


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© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Authors and Affiliations

  • Eugene A. Vaganov
    • 1
  • Kevin J. Anchukaitis
    • 2
    • 3
  • Michael N. Evans
    • 2
    • 4
  1. 1.RectorateSiberian Federal UniversityKrasnoyarskRussia
  2. 2.Laboratory of Tree-Ring ResearchThe University of ArizonaTucsonUSA
  3. 3.Lamont-Doherty Earth ObservatoryColumbia UniversityPalisadesUSA
  4. 4.Department of Geology and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary CenterThe University of MarylandCollege ParkUSA

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