Abstract
While the gross national products in the industrialised countries have increased by 4 per cent a year since the 1950s, industrial production by 6 per cent and world trade by 8 per cent, most traffic volumes have increased even more. Thus a very important point in intercity transport planning is the forecasting of future traffic volumes. In the following we shall first describe simple forecasting models, using the method of extrapolation.1
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
- 1.Rallis, T. (1963). Airports, Acta Poly. scand., 18, CopenhagenGoogle Scholar
- 2.Bendtsen, P. H. and Rallis, T. (1971) Transport Outside Towns, Topic II, 2, 4th Int. Symp., CEMT, HagueGoogle Scholar
- 3.Rallis, T. (1973). Intercity Transport Capacity, Int. Conf. Transp. Res., BrugesGoogle Scholar
- 4.Kraft, G. (1963). Demand for Intercity Passenger Travel Systems, Analysis and Research Corporation for Department of Commerce, WashingtonGoogle Scholar
- 5.McLynn, J. M. (1973). Modal Choice Models, Davidson, Talbird and McLynn, Bethesda, MarylandGoogle Scholar
- 6.Quandt, R. (1970). The Demand for Travel, Princeton University Press, Princeton, New JerseyGoogle Scholar
- 7.Manheim, M. L. and Ruiter, E. R. (1970). Highway Res. Record 314, WashingtonGoogle Scholar
- 8.Andersen, P. Bj. (1976). Models for Forecasting Intercity Passenger Transport, Danish State Railways, CopenhagenGoogle Scholar
- 9.Ricardo, D. (1817). Principles of Political Economy and Taxation, Dent, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 10.Ohlin, B (1933). Inter-regional and International Trade, Cambridge University Press, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 11.Olsen, E. (1971). International Trade Theory and Regional Income Difference, North-Holland, AmsterdamGoogle Scholar
- 12.Carey, H. (1858). Principles of Social Science, Lippincott, PhiladelphiaGoogle Scholar
- 13.Reilly, W. J. (1929). Methods for the Study of Retail Relationships, Bulletin, University of Texas, AustinGoogle Scholar
- 14.Stewart, J. Q. (1947). Rules concerning the distribution and equilibrium of population, Geog. Rev., 37Google Scholar
- 15.Zipf, G. K. (1949). Human Behaviour and the Principle of least Effort, Cambridge University Press, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 16.Pöyhönen, P. (1963). A model for volume of trade, Weltwirtschaftlisches Archiv., 59Google Scholar
- 17.Tinbergen, J. (1962). Shaping the World Economy, Appendix V I, Twentieth Century Foundation, New YorkGoogle Scholar
- 18.Linneman, H (1966). An Economic Study of International Trade Flows, North-Holland, AmsterdamGoogle Scholar
- 19.Wilson, A. G. in Chisholm, M. et al. (1971). Regional Forecasting LondonGoogle Scholar
- 20.Baumol, W. J. and Vinod, H. D. (1967). Studies in the Demand for Freight Transport Washington PB 176479, D.O.T.Google Scholar
- 21.Evans, A. W. (1969). London—Manchester electrification, J. Transp. Econ. Policy, 3Google Scholar
- 22.British Rail Board (1963). Reshaping British Rail, H.M.S.O., LondonGoogle Scholar
- 23.Proposal for a Fixed Channel Link (1963). Cmnd 2137, H.M.S.O., LondonGoogle Scholar
- 24.Major Ports of Great Britain (1962). Cmnd 1824, H.M.S.O., LondonGoogle Scholar
- 25.Goss, R. O. (1967). Port investments, J. Transp. Econ. Policy, 1Google Scholar
- 26.Peston, M. H. and Rees, R. (1970). Maritime Industrial Development Areas, National Ports Council, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 27.T.R.R.L. (1970) Comparative Assessment of New Forms of Intercity Transport Special Report 1, vol. 1, 2 and 3, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 28.Canadian Transport Committee (1970). Intercity Transport Study OttawaGoogle Scholar
- 29.Horonjeff, R. and Kanafani, A. (1973). Forecasting the Demand Potential for STOL, I. T.T.E., Berkeley, CaliforniaGoogle Scholar
- 30.Dasgupta, A. K. and Pearce, D. W. (1972). Cost—Benefit Analysis, Macmillan, LondonCrossRefGoogle Scholar
- 31.Coburn, T. M. Beesley, M. E. and Reynolds D. J. (1960) London-Birmingham Motorway Road Research Laboratory, TP46, LondonGoogle Scholar
- 32.The Third London Airport (1967) Cmnd 3257, H.M.S.O. LondonGoogle Scholar
- 33.Ministry of Transport (1966). Portbury, H.M.S.O., LondonGoogle Scholar
- 34.Kuhn, T. E. (1962). Public Enterprise Economics and Transport Problems University of CaliforniaGoogle Scholar
- 35.Thygesen, I. (1971) Investeringsplanleegning, Polyteknisk Forlag, CopenhagenGoogle Scholar
- 36.Carruthers and Dale (1969) Traffic Engineering and Control 11Google Scholar
- 37.Thomson, J. M. et al., (1976) COST 33, European Intercity Transport Study, O.E.C.D. ParisGoogle Scholar
- 38.Cheslow, M. et al. (1971). Northeast Corridor Transport, Final Report, D.O.T., WashingtonGoogle Scholar
Copyright information
© Tom Rallis 1977