Skip to main content

The Impact of Advertising in Emergent Economic Context: A System Dynamics Simulation Approach

  • Chapter
Electronic Business and Marketing

Abstract

The continual changes in the current market have increased complexity in business strategies. Under such dynamic conditions, enterprises need new tools, methods and methodologies to deal with uncertainty, ambiguity and a huge number of interactions. This phenomenon presents important differences in emergent economies but also similarities: the success of a product in the market will depend on product design, an efficient supply chain and also upon the right advertising campaigns in order to improve profit. In parallel, enterprises in emerging economies are involved in a global business where it is necessary to consider the challenging conditions for better decision-making. System dynamics simulation is a tool that can helps enterprises to analyze and observe the effect of business strategies over global performance. Marketing and advertising considered as a business strategy is not an exception to this statement. Thus, in this article is described a methodology and a study case where system dynamics simulation helps a motorcycle distributor enterprise to assess the impact of their advertising strategies in the market share, in order to chose the most suitable strategy through a sensitivity analysis.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Abdel-Hamid, T.K.: The Dynamics of Software Development Project Management: An Integrative System Dynamics Perspective. PhD Thesis, Sloan School of Management, MIT, Cambridge, MA (1984)

    Google Scholar 

  2. AMA- American Marketing Association, definition of marketing, http://www.marketingpower.com/_layouts/Dictionary.aspx?dLetter=M#marketing+management (consulted in August 2012)

  3. Angerhofer, B., Angelides, M.: System dynamics modeling in supply chain management: Research review. In: Proceedings of the 2000 Winter Simulation Conference (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Besiou, M., Stapleton, O., Wassenhove, L.: System dynamics for humanitarian operations. Journal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management 1(1), 78–103 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Brian, F.: Analytical System Dynamics. Springer (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Carayannis, E., Campbell, D.: Editorial preface to the first volume of Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship. Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship 1(1) (2012), doi:10.1186/2192-5372-1-1

    Google Scholar 

  7. Chan, S., Ip, W., Cho, V.: A model for predicting customer value from perspectives of product attractiveness and marketing strategy. Expert System with Applications 37(2), 1207–1215 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Colomo-Palacios, R., García-Crespo, A., Gómez-Berbís, J.M., Paniagua-Martín, F.: A Case of System Dynamics Education in Software Engineering Courses. IEEE Multidisciplinary Engineering Education Magazine 3(2), 52–59 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Dill, M.: Capital Investment Cycles: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach to Social Theory Development. Paper read at 15th International System Dynamics Conference: "Systems Approach to Learning and Education into the 21st Century", Istanbul, Turkey (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Farris, P., Bendle, N., Pfeifer, P., Reibstein, D.: Marketing Metrics. The definitive guide to measuring marketing performance, 2nd edn. Pearson Educations Inc. (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Ford, A., Lorber, H.W.: Methodology for the Analysis of the Impacts of Electric Power Production in the West. Paper read at Environmental Protection Agency Conference on Energy/Environment II (1977)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Forrester, J.: Industrial Dynamics. Productivity Press, Portland (1961)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Forrester, J., Senge, P.: Test for Building Confidence in System Dynamics Models. TIMS Studies in the Management Science 14, 209–228 (1980)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Galanakis, K.: Innovation process. Make sense using systems thinking. Technovation 26(11), 1222–1232 (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Georgiadis, P., Vlachos, D., Iakovou, E.: A system dynamics modeling framework for the strategic supply chain management of food chain. Journal of Food Engineering (70), 351–364 (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Gröβler, A., Schieritz, N.: Of stocks, flows, agents and rules strategic simulation in supply chain research. Research methodologies in supply chain management, pp. 445–460. Editorial Physica-Verlang (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Größler, A., Löpsinger, T., Stotz, M., Wörner, H.: Analyzing price and product strategies with a comprehensive system dynamics model—A case study from the capital goods industry. Journal of Business Research 61(11), 1136–1142 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Hansen, J.E., Bie, P.: Distribution of body fluids, plasma protein, and sodium in dogs: a system dynamics model. System Dynamics Review 3(2), 116–135 (1987)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Herfel, W., Gao, Y., Rodrígues, D.: Chinese Medicine and Complex Systems Dynamics. Philosophy of Complex Systems 1, 675–719 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Homer, J.B., Clair, C.L.: A Model of HIV Transmission through Needle Sharing. A model useful in analyzing public policies, such as a needle cleaning campaign. Interfaces 21(3), 26–29 (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Huang, J., Leng, M., Liang, L.: Recent developments in dynamic advertising research. European Journal of Operational Research 220(3), 591–609 (2012)

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  22. Kahen, G., Lehman, M., Ramil, P., Wernick, P.: System dynamics modeling of software evolution processes for policy investigation: Approach and example. Journal of Systems and Software 59(3), 271–281 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Kleijnen, J.: Sensitivity Analysis and Optimization of System Dynamics Models: Regression Analysis and Statistical Design of Experiments. System Dynamics Review 11(4), 275–288 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Leeflang, P., Wittink, D.: Building models for marketing decisions: Past, present and future. International Journal of Research in Marketing 17(2-3), 105–126 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Little, J.: Aggregate Advertising Models, The State of the Art. Operation Research 27, 629–667 (1979)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  26. Mosekilde, E., Larsen, E.R., Sterman, J.D.: Coping with Complexity: Deterministic Chaos in Human Decision making Behavior. In: Casti, J.L., Karlqvist, A. (eds.) Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction, and Explanation in Science. CRC Press, Boston (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Nicholson, C., Kaiser, H.: Dynamic market impacts of generic dairy advertising. Journal of Business Research 61(11), 1125–1135 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Otto, P.: A system dynamics model as a decision aid in evaluating and communicating complex market entry strategies. Journal of Business Research 61(11), 1173–1181 (2008)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  29. Papachristos, G.: A system dynamics model of socio-technical regime transitions. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 1(2), 202–233 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Qi, C., Chang, N.B.: System dynamics modeling for municipal water demand estimation in an urban region under uncertain economic impacts. Journal of Enviroment Management, 1628–1641 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Richardson, G., Otto, P.: Applications of system dynamics in marketing: Editorial. Journal of Business Research 61(11), 1099–1101 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Sakao, T., Lindahl, M.: Introduction to Product/Service-System Design. Springer (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  33. Sánchez, C., Cedillo, M.G., Villanueva, P., Martínez, J.: Global economic crisis and Mexican automotive suppliers: impacts on the labor capital. Simulation 87(8), 711–725 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Sheth, J., Sisodia, R.S.: Marketing productivity: issues and analysis. Journal of Business Research 55(5), 349–362 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Sterman, J.: Business dynamics: Systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. McGraw-Hill, Irwin (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  36. Suryani, E., Chou, S., Chen, C.H.: Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework. Expert Systems with Applications 37, 2324–2339 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Varey, R.: Marketing as an Interaction System. Australasian Marketing Journal 16(1), 79–94 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Vidale, M.L., Wolfe, H.B.: An operation research study for the response to advertising. Operation Research 5, 370–381 (1957)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  39. Wierenga, B., Ophuis, P.: Marketing decision support systems: Adoption, use, and satisfaction. International Journal of Marketing Research 14(3), 275–290 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Yim, N., Kil, S., Kim, H., Kwahk, K.: Knowledge based decision making on higher level strategic concerns: system dynamics approach. Expert System with Applications 27(1), 143–158 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Cuauhtémoc Sánchez Ramírez .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Ramírez, C.S., Robles, G.C., Hernández, G.A. (2013). The Impact of Advertising in Emergent Economic Context: A System Dynamics Simulation Approach. In: Matsuo, T., Colomo-Palacios, R. (eds) Electronic Business and Marketing. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 484. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37932-1_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-37932-1_6

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-37931-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-37932-1

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics