Abstract
In view of the prominent characteristics of complexity, uncertainty, inevitability and relief of river basin floods, this paper presents a research of “scene perception – scenario construction – scenario analysis” on flood emergency management in river basin by applying the related theories of scenarios, that is, perceiving the situations of key factors (rain, flooding, etc.), acquiring information from the perception and forming the possible future scenarios of flood emergency management. A case study of Huaihe River Basin is researched, in which the future scenarios of flood emergency management are described and corresponding recommendations of emergency measures are made. This method is also suitable for flood emergency management in other river basins.
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Acknowledgment
This research was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.90924027), Specialized Research Fund for non-profit Public Industry of Ministry of Water Resources (No.200801027), National Social Science Foundation of China (No.10CGL069, 09CJY020, 10AJY005), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.20100471372).
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Liu, Gf., Wang, Hm., Tong, Jp. (2011). Scenario Construction of Flood Emergency Management in River Basin Based on Scene Perception. In: Wu, D., Zhou, Y. (eds) Modeling Risk Management for Resources and Environment in China. Computational Risk Management. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18387-4_14
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18387-4_14
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