Abstract
The presented attitude-based conflict analysis models the Russia-Turkey conflict with the third-party intervention of China. Third-party intervention model considers the attitudes of three decision makers (DMs) to understand the behaviors of the DMs in decision making in the situation of a strategic conflict. Three sets of attitudes of DMs are considered for attitudinal conflict analysis. The study traces out how the inappropriate (negative) attitudes of Russia and Turkey, regardless of third-party’s attitude, would lead to unfavorable consequences. Even though the third-party, China, changes her attitude from neutral to positive, it would not affect the outcome. The attitudinal analysis reveals that the attitude of the focal decision maker, Russia, is important as the change in it influences the outcome of the conflict. The appropriate (positive) attitude of DMs would help resolve the conflict.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Stubbs, J., Solovyov, D.: Kremlin says Turkey apologized for shooting down Russian jet. Reuters, 27 June 2016. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-turkey-jet/kremlin-says-turkey-apologized-for-shooting-down-russian-jet-idUSKCN0ZD1PR. Accessed 01 Nov 2018
Melvin, D., Marinez, M., Bilginsoy, Z.: Putin calls jet’s downing ‘stab in the back’; Turkey says warning ignored. CNN, 24 November 2015. http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/24/middleeast/warplane-crashes-near-syria-turkey-border/index.html. Accessed 11 Jan 2018
Melvin, D., Mullen, J., Bilginsoy, Z.: Tensions rise as Russia says it’s deploying anti-aircraft missiles to Syria. CNN, 25 November 2015. http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/25/middleeast/syria-turkey-russia-warplane-shot-down/index.html. Accessed 11 Jan 2018
Naylor, H., Roth, A.: NATO faces new Mideast crisis after downing of Russian jet by Turkey. The Washington Post, 24 November 2015. https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/turkey-downs-russian-military-aircraft-near-syrias-border/2015/11/24/9e8e0c42-9288-11e5-8aa0-5d0946560a97_story.html?utm_term=.7251c00b23d3. Accessed 05 Jan 2018
BBC: Turkey’s downing of Russian warplane - what we know. BBC News, 01 December 2015. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-34912581. Accessed 02 Jan 2018
Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour, D.M.: Interactive Decision Making: The Graph Model for Conflict Resolution. Wiley, New York (1993)
Xu, P., Xu, H., He, S.: Evolutional analysis for the South China sea dispute based on the two-stage attitude of Philippines. In: Schoop, M., Kilgour, D.M. (eds.) GDN 2017. LNBIP, vol. 293, pp. 73–85. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-63546-0_6
Ali, S., Haiyan, X., Peng, X., Zhao, S.: The analysis of environmental conflict in Changzhou foreign language school using a hybrid game. Open Cybern. Syst. J. 11, 94–106 (2017)
Neumann, V., Morgenstern, J.: Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1944)
Howard, N.: Paradoxes of Rationality. MIT Press, Cambridge (1971)
Kilgour, D.M., Hipel, K.W., Fang, L.: The graph model for conflicts. Automatica 23(1), 41–55 (1987)
Inohara, T., Hipel, K.W., Walker, S.: Conflict analysis approach for investigating attitude and misperceptions in the war of 1812. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 16(2), 181–201 (2007)
Xu, H., Xu, P., Ali, S.: Attitude analysis in process conflict for C919 aircraft manufacturing. Trans. Nanjing Univ. Aeronaut. Astronaut. 34(2), 1–10 (2017)
Xu, H., Kilgour, D.M., Hipel, K.W.: Matrix representation of solution concepts in graph models for multiple decision makers graphs. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. A Syst. Humans 39(1), 96–108 (2009)
Xu, H., Kilgour, D.M., Hipel, K.W., Kemkes, G.: Using matrices to link conflict evolution and resolution in a graph model. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 207, 318–329 (2010)
Xu, H., Li, K.W., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour, D.M.: A matrix approach to status quo analysis in the graph model for conflict resolution. Appl. Math. Comput. 212(2), 470–480 (2009)
Walker, S.B., Hipel, K.W., Xu, H.: A matrix representation of attitudes in conflicts. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Syst. 43(6), 1328–1342 (2013)
Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour, D.M., Peng, X.: A decision support system for interactive decision making - part I: model formulation. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. C Appl. Rev. 33(1), 42–55 (2003)
Fang, L., Hipel, K.W., Kilgour, D.M., Peng, X.: A decision support system for interactive decision making, part 2: model formulation. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. C 33(1), 56–66 (2003)
Kirisci, K.: Turkey and its post-Soviet neighborhood, vol. 112(756), p. 271 (2013)
Kirişci, K.: Order from chaos: The implications of a Turkish-Russian rapprochment, 08 October 2016. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2016/08/10/the-implications-of-a-turkish-russian-rapprochement/. Accessed 05 Jan 2018
Özel, S.: The crisis in Turkish-Russian Relations. Center for American Progress 10 May 2016. https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/security/reports/2016/05/10/137131/the-crisis-in-turkish-russian-relations/. Accessed 05 Jan 2018
Skinner, A.: Grudge between Ankara and Moscow deepens in struggle for regional influence. CNBC 14 Mar 2016. https://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/14/turkey-v-russia-grudge-between-ankara-and-moscow-deepens-in-struggle-for-regional-influence.html. Accessed 02 Jan 2018
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature
About this paper
Cite this paper
Ali, S., Xu, H., Xu, P., Theodora, M. (2018). Attitudinal Analysis of Russia-Turkey Conflict with Chinese Role as a Third-Party Intervention. In: Chen, Y., Kersten, G., Vetschera, R., Xu, H. (eds) Group Decision and Negotiation in an Uncertain World. GDN 2018. Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, vol 315. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-92874-6_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-92874-6_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-92873-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-92874-6
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)