To Reliability of Mortality Shifts in Working Population in Russia

Abstract

The article presents the analysis of death causes structure of working population (15–59 years) in Russia determining its age-specific and gender regularities and defining their influence on death causes structure in working ages. The main results of 50-years of history of Russian mortality are the following:

• Russia for the third time almost returned to the levels of life expectancy, already met in its history over the past 50 years: in 1987 and in 1965; in 2014, life expectancy level was higher by only 1.3 years than in 1965 and by 0.9 years than in 1987;

• the main source of both disadvantages and gains is the population of working ages; in males cumulative losses due to population of 15–59 years following the results of 1965–2014 occurred to be 1.2 years of life expectancy, in females – 0.01 years;

• the resulting losses during working-life period are combined from 2 age groups: 30–44 year-olds and 45–59 year-olds – in males proportion of those 2 groups was 40% and 60%; in females reverse – 60% and 40%. Input of younger age groups both in males and females occurred small (0.17 and 0.15 year);

• In the ages where resulting mortality during analyzed period didn’t change in general, and in ages where it increased the structure of death causes visibly changed:

• as to structure of mortality in young ages, input of respiratory and digestive diseases as well as ill-defined conditions plus infections and cardio-vascular diseases in males the resulting mortality remained the same as in 1965 only due to reduction of traumas and poisonings and neoplasms;

• as to structure of mortality in working ages over 30 years, input of main somatic diseases (except neoplasms) and external causes increased which determined growth of summarized mortality in these ages.