Skip to main content

Neuro-fuzzy Techniques and Natural Risk Management. Applications of ANFIS Models in Floods and Comparison with Other Models

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Natural Risk Management and Engineering

Abstract

During the last decades, floods are getting more and more dangerous and they cause a lot of destruction either for human lives and/or for people’s properties. Due to different climate conditions, some parts of the world present increased levels of danger from floods. For this reason, the development of a robust tool for the prediction of floods is essential for the protection of people who live in these areas. An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is a hybrid fuzzy system, which is based on Sugeno fuzzy inference along with the use of artificial neural networks for training. In this work, the current literature on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system models, which are used for flood prediction, is reviewed. More specifically, the mode of operation of such decision-making systems, along with their major advantages and disadvantages are presented in detail. A comparison with other similar models is also carried out.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Abbreviations

ANFIS:

Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

ANGIS:

Adaptive neuro genetic algorithms integrated systems

ANN:

Artificial neural network

ARIMA:

Autoregressive integrated moving average

ARMA:

Autoregressive moving average

BPNN:

Back-propagation neural network

CE:

Coefficient of efficiency

CGF:

Conjugate descent algorithm

CORR:

Coefficient of correlation

D:

Discrepancy ratio

FIS:

Fuzzy inference system

GDX:

Gradient descent algorithm

GIS:

Geographic information system

GNN:

Generalized neural network

HN-FIS:

Hybrid neuro-fuzzy inference system

LM:

Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm

MAE:

Mean absolute error

MAPE:

Mean absolute percentage error

MLP:

Multi-layer perceptron

Mo-ANFIS:

Modified ANFIS

MONF:

Metaheuristic optimization neuro-fuzzy

PSO:

Particle swarm optimization

R2:

Coefficient of determination

RFFA:

Regional flood frequency analyses

RMSE:

Root mean square error

SAC-SMA:

Sacramento technique

References

  • Ahmed, K., Ewees, A. A., Hassanien, A. E. (2017). Prediction and management system for forest fires based on hybrid flower pollination optimization algorithm and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. In Eighth International Conference on Intelligent Computing and Information Systems (ICICIS) Proceedings, Cairo (pp. 305–310).

    Google Scholar 

  • Aissa, B. C., & Fatima, C. (2015). Adaptive neuro-fuzzy control for trajectory tracking of a wheeled mobile robot. In 4th International Conference on Electrical Engineering (ICEE), Boumerdes (pp. 1–4).

    Google Scholar 

  • Aqil, M., Kita, I., Yano, A., & Nishiyama, S. (2006). Prediction of flood abnormalities for improved public safety using a modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. Water Science and Technology, 54(11–12), 11–19.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boyacioglu, M. A., & Avci, D. (2010). An adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for the prediction of stock market return: The case of the Istanbul stock exchange. Expert Systems with Applications, 37, 7908–7912.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bui, D. T., Bui, Q.-T., Nguyen, Q.-P., Pradhan, B., Nampak, H., & Trinh, P. T. (2017). A hybrid artificial intelligence approach using GIS-based neural-fuzzy inference system and particle swarm optimization for forest fire susceptibility modeling at a tropical area. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 233, 32–44.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bui, D. T., Pradhan, B., Nampak, H., & Tran, Q. (2016). Hybrid artificial intelligence approach based on neural fuzzy inference model and metaheuristic optimization for flood susceptibility modeling in a high-frequency tropical cyclone area using GIS. Journal of Hydrology, 540, 317–330.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen, S. H., Lin, Y. H., Chang, L. C., & Chang, F. J. (2006). The strategy of building a flood forecast model by neuro-fuzzy network. Hydrological Processes, 20, 1525–1540.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chiu, S. (1994). Fuzzy model identification based on cluster estimation. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 2(3), 267–278.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Choi, C., Ji, J., Yu, M., Lee, T., Kang, M., & Yi, J. (2012). Urban flood forecasting using a neuro-fuzzy technique. WIT Transactions on The Built Environment, 122, 249–259.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duong, T. H., Nguyen, D. C., Nguyen, S. D., & Hoang, M. H. (2013). An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclones making landfall along the Vietnam coast. In N. Nguyen, T. van Do, H. le Thi (Eds.), Advanced computational methods for knowledge engineering. Studies in computational intelligence (Vol. 479, pp. 225–236). Heidelberg: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hakim, S. J. S., & Razak, H. A. (2013). Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) for structural damage identification. Structural Engineering and Mechanics, 45(6), 779–802.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hossain, E., Turna, T. N., Soheli, S. J., & Kaiser, M. S. (2014). Neuro-fuzzy (NF)-based adaptive flood warning system for Bangladesh. In 3rd International Conference on Informatics, Electronics & Vision.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jang, J.-S. R. (1991). Fuzzy modeling using generalized neural networks and Kalman filter algorithm. In AAAI-91 Proceedings (pp. 762–767).

    Google Scholar 

  • Jang, J.-S. R. (1993). ANFIS: Adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference systems. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 23(3), 665–685.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jang, J.-S. R., & Sun, C.-T. (1995). Neuro-fuzzy modeling and control. Proceedings of the IEEE, 83(3), 378–406.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khasiya, R. B. (2017). Flood forecasting using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. International Journal of Advance Engineering and Research Development, 4(4), 210–213.

    Google Scholar 

  • le Cun, Y. (1988). A theoretical framework for back-propagation. In D. Touretzky, G. Hinton & T. Sejnowski (Eds.), Proceedings of the 1988 Connectionist Models Summer School, CMU, Pittsburg, PA (pp. 21–28).

    Google Scholar 

  • Mirrashid, M. (2014). Earthquake magnitude prediction by adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) based on fuzzy C-means algorithm. Natural Hazards, 74(3), 1577–1593.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mukerji, A., Chatterjee, C., & Raghuwanshi, N. S. (2009). Flood forecasting using ANN, neuro-fuzzy, and neuro-GA Models. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 14(6), 647–652.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Muradova, A. D., Tairidis, G. K., & Stavroulakis, G. Ε. (2017). Adaptive neuro-fuzzy vibration control of a smart plate. Numerical Algebra, Control and Optimization, 7(3), 251–271.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Nayak, P. C., Sudheer, K. P., Rangan, D. M., & Ramasastri, K. S. (2004). A neuro-fuzzy computing technique for modeling hydrological time series. Journal of Hydrology, 291, 52–66.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nayak, P. C., Sudheer, K. P., Rangan, D. M., & Ramasastri, K. S. (2005). Short-term flood forecasting with a neuro-fuzzy model. Water Resource Research, 41, 1–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patel, D., & Parekh, F. (2014). Flood forecasting using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology (IJETT), 12(10), 510–514.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pramanik, N., & Panda, R. K. (2009). Application of neural network and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems for river flow prediction. Hydrological Sciences–Journal–des Sciences Hydrologiques, 54(2), 247–260.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roodsari, B. K., Chandler, D. G., Kelleher, C., & Kroll, C. N. (2018). A comparison of SAC-SMA and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for real-time flood forecasting in small urban catchments. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 12492, 1–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • Seckin, N. (2011). Modeling flood discharge at ungauged sites across Turkey using neuro-fuzzy and neural networks. Journal of Hydroinformatics, 13(4), 842–849.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stavroulakis, G., Papachristou, I., Salonikidis, S., & Tairidis, G. K. (2011). Neuro-fuzzy control for smart structures. In Y. Tsompanakis & B. Topping (Eds.), Soft computing methods for civil and structural engineering (pp. 149–172). Stirlingshire: Saxe-Coburg Publications.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Supatmi, S., Hou, R., & Sumitra, I. D. (2019). Study of hybrid neuro-fuzzy inference system for forecasting flood event vulnerability in indonesia. Hindawi Computational Intelligence and Neuroscience, 2019, 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tairidis, G. K. (2016). Optimal design of smart structures with intelligent control. Ph.D. Dissertation, Technical University of Crete.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tairidis, G. K. (2019). Vibration control of smart composite structures using shunted piezoelectric systems and neuro-fuzzy techniques. Journal of Vibration and Control. https://doi.org/10.1177/1077546319854588.

  • Tairidis, G. K., Muradova, A. D., & Stavroulakis, G. E. (2019). Dynamic morphing of smart trusses and mechanisms using fuzzy and neuro-fuzzy techniques. Frontiers in Built Environment—Computational Methods in Structural Engineering, 5, 32 (10 p).

    Google Scholar 

  • Tairidis, G., Papachristou, I., Katagas, M., & Stavroulakis, G. E. (2013). Neuro-fuzzy control of smart structures. In 10th HSTAM International Congress on Mechanics, Chania, 25–27 May 2013.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tairidis, G. K., & Stavroulakis, G. E. (2019). Fuzzy and neuro-fuzzy control for smart structures. In M. Khakifirooz, M. Fathi, P. Pardalos (Eds.), Computational intelligence and optimization methods for control engineering (in press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Ullah, N. (2013). Flood flow modeling in a river system using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. Environmental Management and Sustainable Development, 2(2), 54–68.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, L. X. (1994). Adaptive fuzzy systems and control: design and stability analysis. Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wijayanto, A. K., Sani, O., Kartika, N. D., & Herdiyeni, Y. (2017). Classification model for forest fire hotspot occurrences prediction using ANFIS algorithm. Earth and Environmental Science, 54, 012059.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

Nikola Stojanovic and Dusan Stamenkovic gratefully acknowledge the financial support for their visit at the Technical University of Crete, through the Special Mobility Strand action of the “Development of Master Curricula for Natural Disasters Risk Management in Western Balkan Countries/NatRisk” Erasmus+ Capacity Building program.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Georgios K. Tairidis .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Tairidis, G.K., Stojanovic, N., Stamenkovic, D., Stavroulakis, G.E. (2020). Neuro-fuzzy Techniques and Natural Risk Management. Applications of ANFIS Models in Floods and Comparison with Other Models. In: Gocić, M., Aronica, G., Stavroulakis, G., Trajković, S. (eds) Natural Risk Management and Engineering. Springer Tracts in Civil Engineering . Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39391-5_8

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39391-5_8

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-39390-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-39391-5

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics