Skip to main content

An Efficient CNN and KNN Data Analytics for Electricity Load Forecasting in the Smart Grid

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 927))

Abstract

The significant part of smart grid is to make smart grid cost-efficient by predicting electricity price and load. To improve the prediction performance we proposed an Efficient Convolutional Neural Network (ECNN) and Efficient K-nearest Neighbour (EKNN) in which the parameters are tuned. It may be difficult to deal with huge amount of load data that is coming from the electricity market. To overcome this issue, we incorporated three modules in the proposed methodology. The proposed model consists of feature engineering and classification. Feature engineering is a two-step process (feature selection and feature extraction); for the purpose of feature selection Mutual Information (MI) is used which reduces the redundancy among features and for feature extraction Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) is used to extract the principle features from the selected features and reduces the dimensionality of features. Finally, after training the data-set and the removal of the duplicate features load prediction is done by ECNN and EKNN. The ECNN and EKNN outperforms better then traditional Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and K-nearest Neighbour (KNN). The forecast performance is evaluated by comparing the results with MAPE, RMSE, MAE and MSE. i.e. 10.8, 7.5, 7.15, and 10.4 respectively.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Lago, J., De Ridder, F., De Schutter, B.: Forecasting spot electricity prices: deep learning approaches and empirical comparison of traditional algorithms. Appl. Energy 221, 386–405 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Liu, B., Nowotarski, J., Hong, T., Weron, R.: Probabilistic load forecasting via quantile regression averaging on sister forecasts. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 8(2), 730–737 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Wang, K., Xu, C., Zhang, Y., Guo, S., Zomaya, A.: Robust big data analytics for electricity price forecasting in the smart grid. IEEE Trans. Big Data (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Zheng, H., Yuan, J., Chen, L.: Short-term load forecasting using EMD-LSTM neural networks with a Xgboost algorithm for feature importance evaluation. Energies 10(8), 1168 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Ahmad, A., Javaid, N., Alrajeh, N., Khan, Z.A., Qasim, U., Khan, A.: A modified feature selection and artificial neural network-based day-ahead load forecasting model for a smart grid. Appl. Sci. 5(4), 1756–1772 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Ahmad, A., Javaid, N., Guizani, M., Alrajeh, N., Khan, Z.A.: An accurate and fast converging short-term load forecasting model for industrial applications in a smart grid. IEEE Trans. Ind. Inform. 13(5), 2587–2596 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Vrablecová, P., Ezzeddine, A.B., Rozinajová, V., Šárik, S., Sangaiah, A.K.: Smart grid load forecasting using online support vector regression. Comput. Electr. Eng. 65, 102–117 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Liu, Y., Wang, W., Ghadimi, N.: Electricity load forecasting by an improved forecast engine for building level consumers. Energy 139, 18–30 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Javaid, N., Hafeez, G., Iqbal, S., Alrajeh, N., Alabed, M.S., Guizani, M.: Energy efficient integration of renewable energy sources in the smart grid for demand side management. IEEE Access 6, 77077 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Singh, S., Yassine, A.: Big data mining of energy time series for behavioral analytics and energy consumption forecasting. Energies 11(2), 452 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Abedinia, O., Amjady, N., Zareipour, H.: A new feature selection technique for load and price forecast of electrical power systems. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 32(1), 62–74 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Javaid, N., Javaid, S., Abdul, W., Ahmed, I., Almogren, A., Alamri, A., Niaz, I.A.: A hybrid genetic wind driven heuristic optimization algorithm for demand side management in smart grid. Energies 10(3), 319 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Yu, C.N., Mirowski, P., Ho, T.K.: A sparse coding approach to household electricity demand forecasting in smart grids. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 8(2), 738–748 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  14. González, J.P., San Roque, A.M., Pérez, E.A.: Forecasting functional time series with a new Hilbertian ARMAX model: application to electricity price forecasting. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 33(1), 545–556 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Chitsaz, H., Zamani-Dehkordi, P., Zareipour, H., Parikh, P.P.: Electricity price forecasting for operational scheduling of behind-the-meter storage systems. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 9(6), 6612–6622 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Moghaddass, R., Wang, J.: A hierarchical framework for smart grid anomaly detection using large-scale smart meter data. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 9(6), 5820–5830 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Singh, N., Mohanty, S.R., Shukla, R.D.: Short term electricity price forecast based on environmentally adapted generalized neuron. Energy 125, 127–139 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Luo, J., Hong, T., Fang, S.C.: Benchmarking robustness of load forecasting models under data integrity attacks. Int. J. Forecast. 34(1), 89–104 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Bassamzadeh, N., Ghanem, R.: Multiscale stochastic prediction of electricity demand in smart grids using Bayesian networks. Appl. Energy 193, 369–380 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nadeem Javaid .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Aimal, S., Javaid, N., Islam, T., Khan, W.Z., Aalsalem, M.Y., Sajjad, H. (2019). An Efficient CNN and KNN Data Analytics for Electricity Load Forecasting in the Smart Grid. In: Barolli, L., Takizawa, M., Xhafa, F., Enokido, T. (eds) Web, Artificial Intelligence and Network Applications. WAINA 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 927. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-15035-8_57

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics