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Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications

  • Book
  • © 2023

Overview

Authors:
  1. Futoshi Ishii

    1. Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan

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  • Introduces a novel method for mortality modeling applying the shifting feature of the mortality curve
  • Describes useful ideas for modeling the shifting mortality that are not examined in other books
  • Details a method for mortality projection and decomposition of modal age at death by applying the models

Part of the book series: SpringerBriefs in Population Studies (BRIEFSPOPULAT)

Part of the book sub series: Population Studies of Japan (POPULAT)

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About this book

This book describes a novel method for mortality modeling applying the shifting feature of the mortality curve. In Japan, the increase and pace of the extension in life expectancy have been quite remarkable. Therefore, existing mortality models often cannot capture the peculiarities of Japanese mortality, nor can the Lee–Carter model, which is now regarded internationally as a standard model. One of the important concepts to model recent Japanese mortality is a shifting feature. In this book, the linear difference model, which has many advantages for modeling and analyzing Japanese mortality, is introduced. The book shows applications of the model to mortality projection with a tangent vector field approach and decomposition of the change of modal age at death. The models introduced here are useful tools for modeling mortality with strong shifting features, as in Japan.

Keywords

Table of contents (7 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xiii
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  2. Introduction

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 1-7

  3. Mortality Trends and Projection Models in Japan

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 9-22

  4. Data and Methods

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 23-36

  5. The LD Model

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 37-46

  6. Tangent Vector Field Approach to Mortality Projection

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 47-61

  7. Application to Analysis of the Trends in Modal Age at Death

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 63-76

  8. Concluding Remarks

    • Futoshi Ishii
    Pages 77-78

  9. Back Matter

    Pages 79-79
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Authors and Affiliations

  • Faculty of Economics, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan

    Futoshi Ishii

About the author

Dr. Futoshi Ishii is a professor of Keio University, Tokyo, Japan. He received his Ph.D. in demography from University of California, Berkeley, in 2014. He is a formal demographer who has contributed to the official population projections for Japan when he worked at the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS). He is a founding director of the Japanese Mortality Database at IPSS, which is a database of Japanese life tables frequently used in mortality studies for Japan.

His major research fields are population projection, mortality analysis, and mathematical demography. He has published many books and papers in these fields that include co-edited book “Choju Kenko no Jinkogaku (Demography of Longevity and Health)”(Hara Shobo 2021).

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications

  • Authors: Futoshi Ishii

  • Series Title: SpringerBriefs in Population Studies

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-2509-4

  • Publisher: Springer Singapore

  • eBook Packages: Social Sciences, Social Sciences (R0)

  • Copyright Information: The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2023

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-981-99-2508-7Published: 01 August 2023

  • eBook ISBN: 978-981-99-2509-4Published: 31 July 2023

  • Series ISSN: 2211-3215

  • Series E-ISSN: 2211-3223

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XIII, 79

  • Number of Illustrations: 29 b/w illustrations, 18 illustrations in colour

  • Topics: Demography, Demography, Demography

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