Shocks and Political Change

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-vii

   PDF

2. Shocks, Windows of Opportunity, and Outcomes

   • William R. Thompson, Thomas J. Volgy

   Pages 1-10

3. The State of the Field on Political Shocks: A Review of (Mostly) Quantitative Literature

   • Kelly Marie Gordell

   Pages 11-37

4. Political Shocks and the Punctuated Equilibrium Model: Applications to the Evolution of Norms in the Americas

   • Andrew Owsiak, Paul F. Diehl, Luis Schenoni, Gary Goertz

   Pages 39-61

5. A Framework for Analyzing Political Shocks and Their Effects

   • Thomas J. Volgy, Kelly Marie Gordell

   Pages 63-83

6. Role Theory and Political Shocks

   • Cameron G. Thies, Leslie Wehner

   Pages 85-99

7. Populist Leadership, Economic Shocks, and Foreign Policy Change

   • Stephan Fouquet, Klaus Brummer

   Pages 101-127

8. Tie-Capacity Shocks and the Resilience of International Trade and Alliance Networks

   • Zeev Maoz, Kyle A. Joyce

   Pages 129-162

9. Domestic Shocks and Prospect Theory

   • Richard Saunders

   Pages 163-182

10. Political Elite Structures in Arab Uprisings (2011 And On) and Foreign Policy Ramifications

    • Imad Mansour, William R. Thompson

    Pages 183-209

11. Chinese Strategic Thinking and the Idea of Shocks: Old Literature, New Application?

    • Steve Chan

    Pages 211-226

12. Globalization Shocks and Foreign Military Intervention

    • Jeffrey Pickering

    Pages 227-248

13. Back Matter

    Pages 249-256

    PDF

Political shocks have come to be considered highly salient for explaining major changes to international politics and to the foreign policies of states. Such shocks can occur at all levels of analysis: domestically, dyadically, regionally, or globally. They range from political phenomena such as coups and wars to ecological catastrophes. These shocks are sufficiently disruptive to cause foreign policy makers to reconsider their foreign policy orientations and to contemplate major changes to their policies. In fact, some have argued that it is mostly through political shocks that fundamental policy change occurs in most states. No wonder then that political shocks are now increasingly part of the toolbox of considerations used by foreign policy and international relations scholars as they focus on understanding patterns of conflict and cooperation between states. 

Given the salience of political shocks to understand foreign policy change, this book brings together a group of both senior and more junior scholars whose previous work has shown substantial promise for moving forward theory and empirical analysis. Their combined efforts in this book highlight the value of multiple theoretical and empirical approaches to a clearer understanding of the nature of political shocks and their consequences for foreign policy and international politics.

• Political Shock
• Foreign Policy
• Abrupt Political Change
• Punctuated Equilibrium
• Conflict
• Political Disruption

• Indiana University, Bloomington, USA

  William R. Thompson

• School of Government and Public Policy, University of Arizona, Tuscon, USA

  Thomas J. Volgy

William R. Thompson is Distinguished Professor and Rogers Chair of Political Science Emeritus at Indiana University and Editor-in-chief of the Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics.  He is a former President of the International Studies Association and twice Editor-in-Chief of International Studies Quarterly.

Thomas J. Volgy is professor of political science at the University of Arizona and former director of the International Studies Association. He has published over 80 articles and books focused on interstate conflict, status issues in international politics, and comparative regional analysis.