Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges

1. Front Matter

   Pages i-xv

   PDF

2. Overviews

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

      PDF

   2. The Prescriptive Orientation of Decision Making: A Synthesis of Decision Analysis, Behavioral Decision Making, and Game Theory

      • Howard Raiffa

      Pages 3-13

   3. A Perspective on Recent Developments in Utility Theory

      • Simon French, Zhigang Xie

      Pages 15-31

   4. Decision Influence Diagrams and Their Uses

      • Jim Q. Smith

      Pages 33-51

   5. A Pyramid of Decision Approaches

      • Paul J. H. Schoemaker, J. Edward Russo

      Pages 53-78

3. Theory and Foundations

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 79-79

      PDF

   2. Direct Decision Making

      • Yves Coignard, Jean-Yves Jaffray

      Pages 81-90

   3. On Some Conditions for the Ellsberg Phenomenon

      • Aldo Montesano

      Pages 91-101

   4. On the Foundations of Robust Decision Making

      • David Ríos Insua, Jacinto Martín

      Pages 103-111

   5. Rational Comparisons and Numerical Representations

      • Giuliana Regoli

      Pages 113-126

   6. Robust Decision Making as a Decision Making Aid Under Uncertainty

      • Laureano F. Escudero

      Pages 127-138

   7. Topological Characterizations of Posets

      • Romano Isler, Gianni Bosi

      Pages 139-145

   8. Inference in Multidimensional Gaussian Processes

      • Pilar Ibarrola, Ricardo Velez

      Pages 147-159

4. Applications

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 161-161

      PDF

   2. An Explanation and Characterization for the Buying of Lotteries

      • Hein Fennema, Peter Wakker

      Pages 163-175

   3. Stochastic Dominance for Elliptical Distributions: Applications in Bayesian Inference

      • F. Javier Girón

      Pages 177-192

   4. The Nearly Perfect Auctioneer: Cryptographic Protocols for Auctions and Bidding

      • Hannu Nurmi, Arto Salomaa

      Pages 193-205

   5. Optimal Hypothesis Testing with a Vague Prior

      • Jean-Yves Jaffray, Tanios Saïd

      Pages 207-222

   6. Multiple Criteria Decision Making: Some Connections with Economic Analysis

      • Enrique Ballestero, Carlos Romero

      Pages 223-232

Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges is divided into three parts. The first part, overviews, provides state-of-the-art surveys of various aspects of decision analysis and utility theory. The second part, theory and foundations, includes theoretical contributions on decision-making under uncertainty, partial beliefs and preferences. The third section, applications, reflects the real possibilities of recent theoretical developments such as non-expected utility theories, multicriteria decision techniques, and how these improve our understanding of other areas including artificial intelligence, economics, and environmental studies.

• Oligopol
• calculus
• decision theory
• game theory
• optimization
• scheduling

• Real Academia de Ciencias, Madrid, Spain

  Sixto Ríos

Policies and ethics