© 2003

Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction

  • Francesco Mulargia
  • Robert J. Geller

Part of the Nato Science Series book series (NAIV, volume 32)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages N3-xviii
  2. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 1-19
  3. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 20-101
  4. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 102-147
  5. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 148-180
  6. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 181-216
  7. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 217-249
  8. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 250-283
  9. Francesco Mulargia, Robert J. Geller
    Pages 284-329
  10. Back Matter
    Pages 330-338

About this book


What is the first thing that ordinary people, for whom journalists are the proxy, ask when they meet a seismologist? It is certainly nothing technical like "What was the stress drop of the last earthquake in the Imperial Valley?" It is a sim­ ple question, which nevertheless summarizes the real demands that society has for seismology. This question is "Can you predict earthquakes?" Regrettably, notwithstanding the feeling of omnipotence induced by modem technology, the answer at present is the very opposite of "Yes, of course". The primary motivation for the question "Can you predict earthquakes?" is practical. No other natural phenomenon has the tremendous destructive power of a large earthquake, a power which is rivaled only by a large scale war. An earth­ quake in a highly industrialized region is capable of adversely affecting the econ­ omy of the whole world for several years. But another motivation is cognitive. The aim of science is 'understanding' nature, and one of the best ways to show that we understand a phenomenon is the ability to make accurate predictions.


earthquake earthquake prediction hazard land use printPDF HB 1-4020-1777-4 available seismic

Editors and affiliations

  • Francesco Mulargia
    • 1
  • Robert J. Geller
    • 2
  1. 1.Università degli Studi di BolognaItaly
  2. 2.University of TokyoJapan

Bibliographic information

  • Book Title Earthquake Science and Seismic Risk Reduction
  • Editors F. Mulargia
    R.J. Geller
  • Series Title Nato Science Series
  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Kluwer Academic Publishers 2003
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Hardcover ISBN 978-1-4020-1777-3
  • Softcover ISBN 978-1-4020-1778-0
  • eBook ISBN 978-94-010-0041-3
  • Series ISSN 1568-1238
  • Edition Number 1
  • Number of Pages XVIII, 338
  • Number of Illustrations 0 b/w illustrations, 0 illustrations in colour
  • Topics Geophysics/Geodesy
    Complex Systems
    Statistical Physics and Dynamical Systems
  • Buy this book on publisher's site


From the reviews of the first edition:

"This is a comprehensive and up-to-date book mainly on earthquake prediction, in the practical sense of including policy issues as well as in the sense that ‘once we can predict something, we understand it’. … This book should be read by everybody interested in earthquake prediction and seismic hazard mitigation, expert or not, scientist or administrator. It … makes a good reference. Each chapter contains a comprehensive set of references to recent literature. A CD-ROM with color figures is included." (Christian Goltz, Surveys in Geophysics, Vol. 27, 2006)