Risk Management Technologies

With Logic and Probabilistic Models

  • E.D. Solozhentsev

Part of the Topics in Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality book series (TSRQ, volume 20)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages I-XXII
  2. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 1-28
  3. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 29-42
  4. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 43-60
  5. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 67-73
  6. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 75-79
  7. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 81-92
  8. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 93-101
  9. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 123-130
  10. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 131-145
  11. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 153-163
  12. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 165-172
  13. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 173-178
  14. E. D. Solozhentsev
    Pages 231-239

About this book

Introduction

This book presents intellectual, innovative, information technologies (I3-technologies) based on logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. The technologies presented here consider such models for structurally complex systems and processes with logical links and with random events in economics and technology. 
The volume describes the following components of risk management technologies: LP-calculus; classes of LP-models of risk and efficiency; procedures for different classes; special software for different classes; examples of applications; methods for the estimation of probabilities of events based on expert information. Also described are a variety of training courses in these topics.
The classes of risk models treated here are: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, and LP-forecasting. Particular attention is paid to LP-models of risk of failure to resolve difficult economic and technical problems. Amongst the  discussed  procedures of I3-technologies  are the construction of  LP-models,  LP-identification of risk models; LP-risk analysis, LP-management and LP-forecasting of risk.
The book  further considers LP-models of risk of invalidity of systems and processes in accordance with the requirements of ISO 9001-2008, LP-models of bank operational risks in accordance with the requirements of Basel-2, complex risk LP-models for  preventing ammunition depot explosions, enterprise electric power supply systems, debugging tests of technical systems, etc. The book also considers LP-models of credit risks, securities  portfolios, operational risks in banking, conteraction of bribes and corruption, etc.  

A number of applications is given to show the effectiveness of risk management technologies. In addition, topics of lectures and practical computer exercises intended for a two-semester course “Risk management technologies” are suggested.

Keywords

I3 Technologies LP Analysis LP Classification Classes LP Efficiency LP- Risk Models Probabilistic Methods Risk Management Risk and Efficiency

Authors and affiliations

  • E.D. Solozhentsev
    • 1
  1. 1.Inst. of Problems in Mech. EngineeringRussian Academy of SciencesSaint PetersburgRussia

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-4288-8
  • Copyright Information Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2012
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Engineering
  • Print ISBN 978-94-007-4287-1
  • Online ISBN 978-94-007-4288-8
  • Series Print ISSN 1566-0443
  • About this book