Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making

  • Philippe C. Baveye
  • Magdeline Laba
  • Jaroslav Mysiak
Conference proceedings

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xix
  2. Model Conceptualization

  3. Verification Of Models

    1. Jean-Marie Chesneaux, Fabienne Jézéquel, Jean-Luc Lamotte
      Pages 101-125
  4. Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis

    1. Andrea Saltelli, Daniele Vidoni, Massimiliano Mascherini
      Pages 183-202
  5. Evaluation Of Models

  6. Communicating Modelling Results And Uncertainties

  7. Decision Making On The Basis Of Model Prediction

    1. Esben Budtz-Jørgensen, Niels Keiding, Philippe Grandjean
      Pages 267-280
  8. Soil Carbon Dynamics

  9. Global Climate Change

  10. Natural Attenuation of Contaminants and Risk Assessment

    1. Stefan Shilev, Iordanka Kuzmanova, Enrique Sancho
      Pages 385-397
  11. Back Matter
    Pages 399-401

About these proceedings


Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.


bacteria climate change contaminants development environmental change hydrology pesticide soil

Editors and affiliations

  • Philippe C. Baveye
    • 1
  • Magdeline Laba
    • 2
  • Jaroslav Mysiak
    • 3
  1. 1.SIMBIOS CentreAbertay UniversityDundeeU.K.
  2. 2.School of Civil and Environmental EngineeringCornell UniversityIthacaU.S.A.
  3. 3.Foundation Eni Enrico MatteiVeniceItaly

Bibliographic information