Modelling and Analysis in Arms Control

1. Negotiations

   1. Two-Person Bargaining Between Threat and Fair Solution

      • Wulf Albers

      Pages 295-306

   2. General Ordinal 2×2 Games in Arms Control Applications

      • Niall M. Fraser

      Pages 307-318

   3. Building a US-Soviet Working Relationship: Ideas on Process

      • Scott Brown, Roger Fisher

      Pages 319-328

   4. Problems of Flexibility in the Nuclear Arms Race

      • David Collingridge

      Pages 329-335

   5. Superpowers and Arms Negotiations: Political Climates and Optimal Strategy

      • Umberto Gori

      Pages 337-345

   6. A Computerized Third Party

      • John D. Kettelle

      Pages 347-364

2. Verification and Post-Agreements Assessments

   1. Front Matter

      Pages 365-365

      PDF

   2. Verification and Post-Agreement Assessment

      • Ernest Gilman, Derry W. Jones

      Pages 367-382

   3. Arms Control and Strategic Defence

      • Allan M. Din

      Pages 383-389

   4. The Prospects for a Satellite Monitoring Agency

      • Allan M. Din, Aphonse Sauder

      Pages 391-397

   5. The Feasibility of Space-Based Remote Sensing in the Verification of a Treaty to Prevent an Arms Race in Outer Space

      • F. Ronald Cleminson

      Pages 399-407

   6. Notes on Arms-Control Verification: A Game-Theoretic Analysis

      • Steven J. Brams, D. Marc Kilgour

      Pages 409-419

   7. On Concepts for Solving Two-Person Games Which Model the Verification Problem in Arms Control

      • J. Fichtner

      Pages 421-441

   8. International Atomic Energy Agency Safeguards

      • Rudolf Avenhaus, Jack T. Markin

      Pages 443-453

   9. Verification at the Crossroad

      • Ernest Gilman

      Pages 455-466

3. Back Matter

   Pages 467-490

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This book presents the results of an international workshop on Modelling and Analysis of Arms Control Problems held in Spitzingsee near Munich in October 1985 under the joint sponsorship of NATO's Scientific Affairs Division and the Volkswagen Foundation. The idea for this workshop evolved in 1983, as a consequence of discussions in the annual Systems Science Seminar at the Computer Science Department of the Federal Armed Forces University ~1unich on the topic of Quantitative Assessment in Arms Control 1) • There was wide agreement among the contribu­ tors to that seminar and its participants that those efforts to assess the potential contributions of systems and decision sciences, as well as systems analysis and"mathematical modelling, to arms control issues should be ex­ panded and a forum should be provided for this activity. It was further agreed that such a forum should include political scientists and policy analysts working in the area of arms control.

• Arms control
• NATO
• modeling

• Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Neubiberg, Germany

  Rudolf Avenhaus, Reiner K. Huber

• Ketron, Inc., Rosslyn Center, Arlington, USA

  John D. Kettelle

Policies and ethics