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Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xii
  2. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 1-3 Open Access
  3. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 5-11 Open Access
  4. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 13-33 Open Access
  5. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 35-54 Open Access
  6. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 55-70 Open Access
  7. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 71-79 Open Access
  8. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 81-102 Open Access
  9. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 103-107 Open Access
  10. Torleif Halkjelsvik, Magne Jørgensen
    Pages 109-110 Open Access

About this book

Introduction

This book is published open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.

Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and when this happens, what we should do to avoid it and how to give more realistic time predictions. It describes methods for predicting time usage in situations with high uncertainty, explains why two plus two is usually more than four in time prediction contexts, reports on research on time prediction biases, and summarizes the evidence in support of different time prediction methods and principles. Based on a comprehensive review of the research, it is the first book summarizing what we know about judgment-based time predictions.

Large parts of the book are directed toward people wishing to achieve better time predictions in their professional life, such as project managers, graphic designers, architects, engineers, film producers, consultants, software developers, or anyone else in need of realistic time usage predictions. It is also of benefit to those with a general interest in judgment and decision-making or those who want to improve their ability to predict and plan ahead in daily life.

Keywords

time predictions human judgement overoptimism uncertainty project management open acces

Authors and affiliations

  • Torleif Halkjelsvik
    • 1
  • Magne Jørgensen
    • 2
  1. 1.Norwegian Institute of Public HealthOsloNorway
  2. 2.Department of Software EngineeringSimula Research LaboratoryFornebuNorway

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2
  • Copyright Information The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018
  • License CC BY
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Economics and Finance
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-74952-5
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-74953-2
  • Buy this book on publisher's site