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On Spatio-Temporal Data Modelling and Uncertainty Quantification Using Machine Learning and Information Theory

Authors:

  • Follows a comprehensive end-to-end data analysis workflow

  • Covers concrete applications in environmental modelling and renewable energy assessement

  • Benefits environmental analysts and researchers working with spatio-temporal data

Part of the book series: Springer Theses (Springer Theses)

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Table of contents (8 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xviii
  2. Introduction

    • Fabian Guignard
    Pages 1-15
  3. Study Area and Data Sets

    • Fabian Guignard
    Pages 17-38
  4. Advanced Exploratory Data Analysis

    • Fabian Guignard
    Pages 39-53
  5. Fisher-Shannon Analysis

    • Fabian Guignard
    Pages 55-79
  6. Conclusions, Perspectives and Recommendations

    • Fabian Guignard
    Pages 151-158

About this book

The gathering and storage of data indexed in space and time are experiencing unprecedented growth, demanding for advanced and adapted tools to analyse them. This thesis deals with the exploration and modelling of complex high-frequency and non-stationary spatio-temporal data. It proposes an efficient framework in modelling with machine learning algorithms spatio-temporal fields measured on irregular monitoring networks, accounting for high dimensional input space and large data sets. The uncertainty quantification is enabled by specifying this framework with the extreme learning machine, a particular type of artificial neural network for which analytical results, variance estimation and confidence intervals are developed. Particular attention is also paid to a highly versatile exploratory data analysis tool based on information theory, the Fisher-Shannon analysis, which can be used to assess the complexity of distributional properties of temporal, spatial and spatio-temporal data sets. Examples of the proposed methodologies are concentrated on data from environmental sciences, with an emphasis on wind speed modelling in complex mountainous terrain and the resulting renewable energy assessment. The contributions of this thesis can find a large number of applications in several research domains where exploration, understanding, clustering, interpolation and forecasting of complex phenomena are of utmost importance.

Keywords

  • Machine Learning
  • Deep Learning
  • Uncertainty Quantification
  • Model Variance
  • Artificial Neural Network
  • Statistical Complexity
  • Environmental Modelling
  • High-Frequency Wind Speed

Authors and Affiliations

  • Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, Faculty of Geosciences and Environment, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland

    Fabian Guignard

About the author

Dr. Fabian Guignard is an environmental data scientist born in 1983 in Switzerland. He received a M.S. degree in Mathematics from Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL, Switzerland) in 2015 and a Ph.D. in Environmental Sciences from the University of Lausanne (UNIL, Switzerland) in 2021. His main research interests lie at the intersection of applied mathematics and computer science, including machine learning, uncertainty quantification and their applications to environmental spatio-temporal statistics.

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: On Spatio-Temporal Data Modelling and Uncertainty Quantification Using Machine Learning and Information Theory

  • Authors: Fabian Guignard

  • Series Title: Springer Theses

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-95231-0

  • Publisher: Springer Cham

  • eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental Science, Earth and Environmental Science (R0)

  • Copyright Information: The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-030-95230-3Published: 13 March 2022

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-3-030-95233-4Published: 13 March 2023

  • eBook ISBN: 978-3-030-95231-0Published: 12 March 2022

  • Series ISSN: 2190-5053

  • Series E-ISSN: 2190-5061

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XVIII, 158

  • Number of Illustrations: 25 b/w illustrations, 43 illustrations in colour

  • Topics: Science, multidisciplinary, Simulation and Modeling, Renewable and Green Energy

Buy it now

Buying options

eBook USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Other ways to access