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Sources of Uncertainty in the Tropical Pacific Warming Pattern under Global Warming Projected by Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

  • Jun Ying

Part of the Springer Theses book series (Springer Theses)

About this book

Introduction

This book discusses the sources of uncertainty in future model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern under global warming. It mainly focuses on cloud radiation feedback and ocean dynamical effect, which reveal to be the two greatest sources of uncertainty in the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern. Moreover, the book presents a correction for model projections of the tropical Pacific SST warming pattern based on the concept of “observational constraints”; the corrected projection exhibits a more El Niño-like warming pattern.


Keywords

Tropical Pacific SST warming pattern Inter-model uncertainty Climatological evaporation cooling Cloud radiation feedback Ocean dynamical effect Observational constraint

Authors and affiliations

  • Jun Ying
    • 1
  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of OceanographyMinistry of Natural ResourcesHangzhouChina

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-32-9844-6
  • Copyright Information Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020
  • Publisher Name Springer, Singapore
  • eBook Packages Earth and Environmental Science
  • Print ISBN 978-981-32-9843-9
  • Online ISBN 978-981-32-9844-6
  • Series Print ISSN 2190-5053
  • Series Online ISSN 2190-5061
  • Buy this book on publisher's site