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Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xvi
  2. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 1-5 Open Access
  3. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 7-9 Open Access
  4. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 11-17 Open Access
  5. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 19-22 Open Access
  6. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 23-34 Open Access
  7. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 35-46 Open Access
  8. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 47-54 Open Access
  9. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 55-61 Open Access
  10. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 63-86 Open Access
  11. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 87-100 Open Access
  12. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 101-109 Open Access
  13. Samuel Davey, Neil Gordon, Ian Holland, Mark Rutten, Jason Williams
    Pages 111-111 Open Access
  14. Back Matter
    Pages 113-114

About this book

Introduction

This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean.

The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraft’s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.

Keywords

Particle Filter Satellite Communication System Burst Timing Offset (BTO) Burst Frequency Offset (BFO) Aircraft Cruise Dynamics Aircraft Maneuver Dynamics Time Series Analysis MH370 flight paths

Authors and affiliations

  • Sam Davey
    • 1
  • Neil Gordon
    • 2
  • Ian Holland
    • 3
  • Mark Rutten
    • 4
  • Jason Williams
    • 5
  1. 1.Defence Science and Technology GroupNational Security and ISR DivisionEdinburghAustralia
  2. 2.Defence Science and Technology GroupNational Security and ISR DivisionEdinburghAustralia
  3. 3.Defence Science and Technology GroupNational Security and ISR DivisionEdinburghAustralia
  4. 4.Defence Science and Technology GroupNational Security and ISR DivisionEdinburghAustralia
  5. 5.Defence Science and Technology GroupNational Security and ISR DivisionEdinburghAustralia

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-0379-0
  • Copyright Information Commonwealth of Australia 2016
  • License CC BY-NC
  • Publisher Name Springer, Singapore
  • eBook Packages Engineering Engineering (R0)
  • Print ISBN 978-981-10-0378-3
  • Online ISBN 978-981-10-0379-0
  • Series Print ISSN 2191-8112
  • Series Online ISSN 2191-8120
  • Buy this book on publisher's site