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Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models

  • Paul Fisher
Book

Part of the Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics book series (ASTA, volume 26)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-viii
  2. Paul Fisher
    Pages 1-4
  3. Paul Fisher
    Pages 111-146
  4. Paul Fisher
    Pages 147-165
  5. Paul Fisher
    Pages 197-199
  6. Paul Fisher
    Pages 201-211
  7. Back Matter
    Pages 211-214

About this book

Introduction

It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more!
Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals.
Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature.
The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Keywords

Inflation Optimal control Simulation calculus macroeconomics

Authors and affiliations

  • Paul Fisher
    • 1
  1. 1.Economics DivisionBank of EnglandUK

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8002-1
  • Copyright Information Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 1992
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Print ISBN 978-90-481-4188-3
  • Online ISBN 978-94-015-8002-1
  • Series Print ISSN 1570-5811
  • Buy this book on publisher's site