Book 2014

Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change

ISBN: 978-94-007-7719-4 (Print) 978-94-007-7720-0 (Online)

Table of contents (35 chapters)

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  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xiv

  2. Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 1-1

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      Chapter

      Pages 3-17

      Construction and Quality of Best Tracks Parameters for Study of Climate Change Impact on Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean during Satellite Era

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      Chapter

      Pages 18-32

      "Climate Change and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones" International Initiative – Progress since the First International Conference on Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change

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      Chapter

      Pages 33-39

      Climate Change in Tropical Cyclones and Monsoon Depressions of North Indian Ocean

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      Chapter

      Pages 40-49

      Mechanism of the Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Frequency Changes due to Global Warming

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      Chapter

      Pages 50-62

      Recent Research at GFDL on Surface Temperature Trends and Simulations of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Indian Ocean Region

  3. Climatological Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones and Future Projection

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 63-63

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      Chapter

      Pages 65-71

      Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Indian Ocean Projected by the New High-Resolution MRI-AGCM

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      Chapter

      Pages 72-80

      Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Indian Ocean in the Warmer Climate

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      Chapter

      Pages 81-88

      An Analysis of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity over the Bay of Bengal during 1981-2010

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      Chapter

      Pages 89-96

      Analysis of Cyclone Tracks of North Indian Ocean Using Cluster Analysis

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      Chapter

      Pages 97-111

      Characteristics of Cyclogenesis over the Indian Region during 1891-2011 with Special Emphasis on Bay of Bengal vis-à-vis Arabian Sea

  4. Tropical Cyclone Predictability: Status and Plan for Operational Forecasting

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 113-113

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      Chapter

      Pages 115-122

      Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones Using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System

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      Chapter

      Pages 123-136

      Prospects for Improving the Operational Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Southern Hemisphere

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      Chapter

      Pages 137-148

      Extended Range Tropical Cyclone Predictions for East Coast of India

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      Chapter

      Pages 149-168

      Status and Plans for Operational Tropical Cyclone Forecasting and Warning Systems in the North Indian Ocean Region

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      Chapter

      Pages 169-191

      Advancing Tropical Cyclone Forecasts Using Aircraft Observations

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      Chapter

      Pages 192-202

      Estimation of Centre and Intensity of Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean Using Microwave Imageries

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      Chapter

      Pages 203-216

      Multi-model Ensemble Based Extended Range Forecast of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the North Indian Ocean

  5. NWP Modelling for Tropical Cyclone Forecasting

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 217-217

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      Chapter

      Pages 219-229

      Improvement in Track and Intensity Prediction of Indian Seas Tropical Cyclones with Vortex Assimilation

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      Chapter

      Pages 230-235

      NWP Forecast Guidance during Phet at Oman Meteorological Service

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      Chapter

      Pages 236-245

      Impact of Variational Data Assimilation for Simulating Tropical Cyclones over Bay of Bengal Using WRF-ARW

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