Greenhouse Gas Inventories

Dealing With Uncertainty

  • Matthias Jonas
  • Zbigniew Nahorski
  • Sten Nilsson
  • Thomas Whiter

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-ii
  2. Michał Kleiber
    Pages 1-1
  3. Matthias Jonas, Gregg Marland, Wilfried Winiwarter, Thomas White, Zbigniew Nahorski, Rostyslav Bun et al.
    Pages 3-18
  4. P. Ciais, P. Rayner, F. Chevallier, P. Bousquet, M. Logan, P. Peylin et al.
    Pages 69-92
  5. L. Rivier, Ph. Peylin, Ph. Ciais, M. Gloor, C. Rödenbeck, C. Geels et al.
    Pages 93-115
  6. Willem W. Verstraeten, Frank Veroustraete, Wolfgang Wagner, Tom Van Roey, Walter Heyns, Sara Verbeiren et al.
    Pages 117-136
  7. Anatoly Shvidenko, Dmitry Schepaschenko, Ian McCallum, Sten Nilsson
    Pages 137-157
  8. Matthias Jonas, M. Gusti, W. Jęda, Z. Nahorski, S. Nilsson
    Pages 175-213
  9. A. Bun, K. Hamal, M. Jonas, M. Lesiv
    Pages 215-225
  10. R. Bun, Kh. Hamal, M. Gusti, A. Bun
    Pages 227-244
  11. Tatiana Ermolieva, Yuri Ermoliev, Günther Fischer, Matthias Jonas, Marek Makowski, Fabian Wagner
    Pages 277-289
  12. Jarosław Stańczak, Paweł Bartoszczuk
    Pages 291-301

About this book

Introduction

The assessment of greenhouse gases emitted to and removed from the atmosphere is high on the international political and scientific agendas. Growing international concern and cooperation regarding the climate change problem have increased the need for policy-oriented solutions to the issue of uncertainty in, and related to, inventories of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The approaches to addressing uncertainty discussed here reflect attempts to improve national inventories, not only for their own sake but also from a wider, systems analytical perspective — a perspective that seeks to strengthen the usefulness of national inventories under a compliance and/or global monitoring and reporting framework. These approaches demonstrate the benefits of including inventory uncertainty in policy analyses. The authors of the contributed papers show that considering uncertainty helps avoid situations that can, for example, create a false sense of certainty or lead to invalid views of subsystems. This may eventually prevent related errors from showing up in analyses. However, considering uncertainty does not come for free. Proper treatment of uncertainty is costly and demanding because it forces us to make the step from “simple to complex” and only then to discuss potential simplifications. Finally, comprehensive treatment of uncertainty does not offer policymakers quick and easy solutions.

Keywords

CO2 fluxes GHG Greenhouse gas Policy Uncertainty

Editors and affiliations

  • Matthias Jonas
    • 1
  • Zbigniew Nahorski
    • 2
  • Sten Nilsson
    • 3
  • Thomas Whiter
    • 4
  1. 1.IIASALaxenburgAustria
  2. 2.Polish Academy of SciencesWarsawPoland
  3. 3.International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)LaxenburgAustria
  4. 4.Ministry of EnvironmentVictoria, BCCanada

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-1670-4
  • Copyright Information Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Earth and Environmental Science
  • Print ISBN 978-94-007-1669-8
  • Online ISBN 978-94-007-1670-4
  • About this book