Household and Living Arrangement Projections

The Extended Cohort-Component Method and Applications to the U.S. and China

Authors:

ISBN: 978-90-481-8905-2 (Print) 978-90-481-8906-9 (Online)

Table of contents (18 chapters)

  1. Front Matter

    Pages i-xxix

  2. No Access

    Chapter

    Pages 1-15

    Introduction

  3. Methodology, Data, and Assessments

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 17-17

    2. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 19-48

      ProFamy: The Extended Cohort-Component Method for Household and Living Arrangement Projections

    3. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 49-72

      Data Needs and Estimation Procedures

    4. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 73-90

      Empirical Assessments and a Comparison with the Headship Rate Method

    5. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 91-108

      Extension of ProFamy Model to Project Elderly Disability Status and Home-Based Care Costs, with an Illustrative Application

    6. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 109-114

      Household and Living Arrangement Projections at the Small Area Level

    7. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 115-132

      A Simple Method for Projecting Pension Deficit Rates and an Illustrative Application

  4. Applications in the United States

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 133-133

    2. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 135-150

      U.S. Family Household Momentum and Dynamics: Projections at the National Level

    3. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 151-166

      Household and Living Arrangement Projections for the 50 States, Washington DC, and Relatively Large Counties in the U.S.

    4. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 167-188

      Effects of Changes in Household Structure and Living Arrangements on Future Home-Based Care Costs for Disabled Elders in the United States

    5. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 189-207

      Projections of Household Vehicle Consumption in the United States

  5. Applications in China

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 209-209

    2. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 211-223

      Household and Living Arrangement Projections in China at the National Level

    3. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 225-236

      Dynamics of Households and Living Arrangements in the Eastern, Middle, and Western Regions of China

    4. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 237-262

      Application of Household and Living Arrangement Projections to Policy Analysis in China

    5. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 263-279

      Household Housing Demand Projections for Hebei Province of China

  6. ProFamy: A Software for Household and Consumption Forecasting

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 281-281

    2. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 283-295

      Setting Up the Projection Model

    3. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 297-321

      Preparing Input Data, Computing, and Managing Output

    4. No Access

      Chapter

      Pages 323-332

      Epilogue: Summary and Future Perspectives

  7. Back Matter

    Pages 333-357