Long-Run Economic Growth

  • Steven Durlauf
  • John F. Helliwell
  • Baldev Raj
Conference proceedings

Part of the Studies in Empirical Economics book series (STUDEMP)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-v
  2. Long-Run Economic Growth

    1. Steven Durlauf, John F. Helliwell, Baldev Raj
      Pages 1-10
  3. Testable Implications of Various Growth Theories and Modelling and Identification of Common Shocks

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 11-11
    2. Philippe Aghion, Peter Howitt
      Pages 13-25
    3. Mario Forni, Lucrezia Reichlin
      Pages 27-42
  4. International Trade and Growth Linkages

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 43-43
    2. Raymond G. Riezman, Charles H. Whiteman, Peter M. Summers
      Pages 77-110
  5. Analysis of Co-Movements and Convergence at Regional Level of Incomes

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 111-111
    2. Andrew B. Bernard, Charles I. Jones
      Pages 113-135
  6. Public Services, Money, and Growth Linkages

  7. Back Matter
    Pages 203-206

About these proceedings


One of the most enduring questions in economics involves how a nation could accelerate the pace of its economic development. One of the most enduring answers to this question is to promote exports -either because doing so directly influences development via encouraging production of goods for export, or because export promotion permits accumulation of foreign exchange which permits importation of high-quality goods and services, which can in turn be used to expand the nation's production possibilities. In either case, growth is said to be export-led; the latter case is the so-called "two-gap" hypothesis (McKinnon, 1964; Findlay, 1973). The early work on export-led growth consisted of static cross-country com­ parisons (Michaely, 1977; Balassa, 1978; Tyler, 1981; Kormendi and Meguire, 1985). These studies generally concluded that there is strong evidence in favour of export-led growth because export growth and income growth are highly correlated. However, Kravis pointed out in 1970 that the question is an essen­ tially dynamic one: as he put it, are exports the handmaiden or the engine of growth? To make this determination one needs to look at time series to see whether or not exports are driving income. This approach has been taken in a number of papers (Jung and Marshall, 1985; Chow, 1987; Serletis, 1992; Kunst and Marin, 1989; Marin, 1992; Afxentiou and Serletis, 1991), designed to assess whether or not individual countries exhibit statistically significant evidence of export-led growth using Granger causality tests.


Government Growth Theory Macroeconomic Makroökonomie Wachstumstheorie modeling productivity

Editors and affiliations

  • Steven Durlauf
    • 1
  • John F. Helliwell
    • 2
  • Baldev Raj
    • 3
  1. 1.Department of EconomicsUniversity of WisconsinMadisonUSA
  2. 2.Department of EconomicsUniversity of British ColumbiaVancouverCanada
  3. 3.Department of EconomicsWilfrid Laurier UniversityWaterlooCanada

Bibliographic information