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Let the Evidence Speak

Using Bayesian Thinking in Law, Medicine, Ecology and Other Areas

  • Alan Jessop

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-viii
  2. Alan Jessop
    Pages 1-3
  3. Likelihood

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 5-5
    2. Alan Jessop
      Pages 7-13
    3. Alan Jessop
      Pages 15-22
    4. Alan Jessop
      Pages 23-30
    5. Alan Jessop
      Pages 31-37
    6. Alan Jessop
      Pages 39-51
    7. Alan Jessop
      Pages 53-65
  4. Base Rate

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 67-67
    2. Alan Jessop
      Pages 69-81
    3. Alan Jessop
      Pages 83-96
    4. Alan Jessop
      Pages 97-110
    5. Alan Jessop
      Pages 111-126
    6. Alan Jessop
      Pages 127-136
  5. Application

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 137-137
    2. Alan Jessop
      Pages 139-154
    3. Alan Jessop
      Pages 155-171
    4. Alan Jessop
      Pages 173-187
    5. Alan Jessop
      Pages 189-205
    6. Alan Jessop
      Pages 207-222
  6. Alan Jessop
    Pages 223-224
  7. Back Matter
    Pages 225-226

About this book

Introduction

This book presents the most important ideas behind Bayes’ Rule in a form suitable for the general reader. It is written without formulae because they are not necessary; the ability to add and multiply is all that is needed. As well as showing in full the application of Bayes’ Rule to some quantitatively simple, though not trivial, examples, the book also convincingly demonstrates that some familiarity with Bayes’ Rule is helpful in thinking about how best to structure one’s thinking.


Keywords

Bayes' Rule Statistical reasoning Applications of Bayes' Rule Problem structuring Evidence Likelihoods Inference Popular statistics criminology environmental analysis data analysis

Authors and affiliations

  • Alan Jessop
    • 1
  1. 1.Durham University Business SchoolDurham UniversityDurhamUnited Kingdom

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71392-2
  • Copyright Information Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2018
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Mathematics and Statistics
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-71391-5
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-71392-2
  • Buy this book on publisher's site