Climate Modelling

Philosophical and Conceptual Issues

  • Elisabeth A. Lloyd
  • Eric Winsberg

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xxxiii
  2. Elisabeth A. Lloyd, Eric Winsberg
    Pages 1-28
  3. Confirmation and Evidence

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 29-29
    2. Elisabeth A. Lloyd
      Pages 65-71
    3. Ben Santer, Peter Thorne, Leo Haimberger, Karl Taylor, Tom Wigley, John Lanzante et al.
      Pages 73-84
    4. B. D. Santer, P. W. Thorne, L. Haimberger, K. E. Taylor, T. M. L. Wigley, J. R. Lanzante et al.
      Pages 85-136
    5. L. O. Mearns, M. Bukovsky, S. C. Pryor, V. Magaña
      Pages 199-269
  4. Uncertainties and Robustness

    1. Front Matter
      Pages 271-271
    2. Wendy S. Parker
      Pages 273-296
  5. Climate Models as Guides to Policy

  6. Back Matter
    Pages 481-497

About this book


This edited collection of works by leading climate scientists and philosophers introduces readers to issues in the foundations, evaluation, confirmation, and application of climate models. It engages with important topics directly affecting public policy, including the role of doubt, the use of satellite data, and the robustness of models.

Climate Modelling provides an early and significant contribution to the burgeoning Philosophy of Climate Science field that will help to shape our understanding of these topics in both philosophy and the wider scientific context. It offers insight into the reasons we should believe what climate models say about the world but addresses the issues that inform how reliable and well-confirmed these models are.

This book will be of interest to students of climate science, philosophy of science, and of particular relevance to policy makers who depend on the models that forecast future states of the climate and ocean in order to make public policy decisions.


Climate Modelling philosophy of science climate communication Philosophy of Climate Change Modelling Climate Policies Uncertainty in Climate Science Predicting Climate in the Real World Robust Model Projections Satellite Data and Climate Models Scientific Consensus on Climate Change

Editors and affiliations

  • Elisabeth A. Lloyd
    • 1
  • Eric Winsberg
    • 2
  1. 1.Indiana University BloomingtonBloomington, INUSA
  2. 2.Department of PhilosophyUniversity of South FloridaTampa, FLUSA

Bibliographic information