Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xiii
  2. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 1-7
  3. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 9-20
  4. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 21-42
  5. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 43-62
  6. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 63-93
  7. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 95-124
  8. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 125-167
  9. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 169-204
  10. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 205-235
  11. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 237-254
  12. Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov
    Pages 255-259
  13. Back Matter
    Pages 261-270

About this book

Introduction

Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.

Keywords

Foresight Studies Innovation Policy STI Policy Strategy and Planning Technology Policy Uncertainty

Authors and affiliations

  • Ian Miles
    • 1
  • Ozcan Saritas
    • 2
  • Alexander Sokolov
    • 3
  1. 1.Higher School of EconomicsNational Research UniversityMoscowRussia
  2. 2.Higher School of EconomicsNational Research UniversityMoscowRussia
  3. 3.Higher School of EconomicsNational Research UniversityMoscowRussia

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-32574-3
  • Copyright Information Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Economics and Finance
  • Print ISBN 978-3-319-32572-9
  • Online ISBN 978-3-319-32574-3
  • About this book