Long-term Modeled Projections of the Energy Sector

An Incremental Approach to Narrowing Down the Uncertainty Range

  • Yuri D.┬áKononov

Part of the Springer Geophysics book series (SPRINGERGEOPHYS)

About this book


This book covers available approaches to improving the performance and impact of long-term projections of the national energy sector development. In turn, it introduces an original multi-stage approach to narrowing down the uncertainty range of the input data and resulting projections. Its unique contribution is that it limits the scope for each of the projection timeframe segments step-by-step. This is done in the course of iterative calculations, which employ dedicated methods and other tools to elucidate and solve top-priority problems specific to each time segment. In closing, the book provides a detailed treatment of two essential research problems: 1) long-term forecasting for regional energy markets, and 2) the quantitative assessment of a) the barriers that are likely to hinder energy sector development and b) strategic-level energy security threats.


Energy Economics Uncertainty Modeling Forecasting Strategic Threads

Authors and affiliations

  • Yuri D.┬áKononov
    • 1
  1. 1.IrkutskRussia

Bibliographic information

  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Earth and Environmental Science
  • Print ISBN 978-3-030-30532-1
  • Online ISBN 978-3-030-30533-8
  • Series Print ISSN 2364-9119
  • Series Online ISSN 2364-9127
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