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What About the Future?

New Perspectives on Planning, Forecasting and Complexity

  • Fred Phillips

Part of the Science, Technology and Innovation Studies book series (STAIS)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xv
  2. Fred Phillips
    Pages 1-7
  3. Fred Phillips
    Pages 9-12
  4. Fred Phillips
    Pages 13-20
  5. Fred Phillips
    Pages 21-27
  6. Fred Phillips
    Pages 29-44
  7. Fred Phillips
    Pages 59-75
  8. Fred Phillips
    Pages 77-95
  9. Fred Phillips
    Pages 97-109
  10. Fred Phillips
    Pages 111-117
  11. Fred Phillips
    Pages 119-131
  12. Fred Phillips
    Pages 133-140
  13. Fred Phillips
    Pages 141-147
  14. Fred Phillips
    Pages 149-157

About this book

Introduction

This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future.

Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future – before starting to predict things.


Keywords

Theory of forecasting Risk and uncertainty Fuzzy goals and firm values Forecasting and decision making Linguistic determinism and technology colonization Political psychology of complexity Price-performance curves Trend extrapolation

Authors and affiliations

  1. 1.Anderson School of ManagementUniversity of New MexicoAlbuquerqueUSA

Bibliographic information

  • DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-26165-8
  • Copyright Information Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019
  • Publisher Name Springer, Cham
  • eBook Packages Economics and Finance
  • Print ISBN 978-3-030-26164-1
  • Online ISBN 978-3-030-26165-8
  • Series Print ISSN 2570-1509
  • Series Online ISSN 2570-1517
  • Buy this book on publisher's site