# Chance Rules

## an informal guide to probability, risk and statistics

• Brian Everitt
Book

1. Front Matter
Pages I-XVI
2. Brian Everitt
Pages 1-11
3. Brian Everitt
Pages 13-18
4. Brian Everitt
Pages 19-23
5. Brian Everitt
Pages 25-38
6. Brian Everitt
Pages 39-46
7. Brian Everitt
Pages 47-54
8. Brian Everitt
Pages 55-75
9. Brian Everitt
Pages 77-85
10. Brian Everitt
Pages 87-104
11. Brian Everitt
Pages 105-119
12. Brian Everitt
Pages 121-134
13. Brian Everitt
Pages 135-153
14. Brian Everitt
Pages 155-168
15. Brian Everitt
Pages 169-181
16. Brian Everitt
Pages 183-197
17. Back Matter
Pages 199-209

### Introduction

Chance continues to govern our lives in the 21st Century. From the genes we inherit and the environment into which we are born, to the lottery ticket we buy at the local store, much of life is a gamble. In business, education, travel, health, and marriage, we take chances in the hope of obtaining something better. Chance colors our lives with uncertainty, and so it is important to examine it and try to understand about how it operates in a number of different circumstances. Such understanding becomes simpler if we take some time to learn a little about probability, since probability is the natural language of uncertainty.

This second edition of Chance Rules again recounts the story of chance through history and the various ways it impacts on our lives. Here you can read about the earliest gamblers who thought that the fall of the dice was controlled by the gods, as well as the modern geneticist and quantum theory researcher trying to integrate aspects of probability into their chosen speciality. Example included in the first addition such as the infamous Monty Hall problem, tossing coins, coincidences, horse racing, birthdays and babies remain, often with an expanded discussion, in this edition. Additional material in the second edition includes, a probabilistic explanation of why things were better when you were younger, consideration of whether you can use probability to prove the existence of God, how long you may have to wait to win the lottery, some court room dramas, predicting the future, and how evolution scores over creationism. Chance Rules lets you learn about probability without complex mathematics.

Brian Everitt is Professor Emeritus at King's College, London. He is the author of over 50 books on statistics.

### Keywords

Chance Conditional probability Monty Hall problem RM chaos coincidences gambling paradoxes prediction probability risk

#### Authors and affiliations

• Brian Everitt
• 1
1. 1.Professor EmeritusKing's College LondonLondonUnited Kingdom