Childbearing Trends and Prospects in Low-Fertility Countries

A Cohort Analysis

  • Authors
  • Tomas¬†Frejka
  • Jean-Paul¬†Sardon

Part of the European Studies of Population book series (ESPO, volume 13)

Table of contents

  1. Front Matter
    Pages i-xvi
  2. Pages 1-8
  3. Pages 9-22
  4. Pages 23-55
  5. Pages 57-88
  6. Pages 89-124
  7. Pages 125-152
  8. Pages 153-182
  9. Pages 183-210
  10. Pages 211-251
  11. Kalev Katus, W. Ward Kingkade
    Pages 253-270
  12. Pages 271-317
  13. Back Matter
    Pages 384-423

About this book


Low fertility, one of the critical issues in the contemporary world, will persist in the foreseeable future. That is arguably the principal conclusion of this book. Fundamental changes in social security and health care systems, taxation schemes, and migration policies, for instance, are inevitable, unless societies are able to institute effective measures and create favorable conditions for increasing fertility. Such are the unavoidable challenges facing European and other economically advanced countries.

The present study applies the cohort analysis approach to detailed data covering over half of the 20th century for populations of 35 countries. In distinction to most previous studies, that approach is put to use not only for elucidating past trends, but also to capture salient aspects of contemporary fertility patterns. And, beyond that, it is utilized to suggest possible near-term future trends in fertility behavior.


Evolution Nation Revolution fertility migration population social security taxation transition

Bibliographic information

  • DOI
  • Copyright Information Kluwer Academic Publishers 2004
  • Publisher Name Springer, Dordrecht
  • eBook Packages Springer Book Archive
  • Print ISBN 978-1-4020-2457-3
  • Online ISBN 978-1-4020-2458-0
  • Series Print ISSN 1381-3579
  • Buy this book on publisher's site