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Assessing the probability of El Niño-related weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions

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Abstract

The risk and predictability of weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions associated with differen types of El Niño are estimated using long-term data (1891-2015) on surface air temperature, precipitation, and indices of drought and excessive moisture. The probability of anomalies of these parameters in spring and summer months is estimated for different phase transitions of El Niño events.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Pyzhevskii per. 3, Moscow, 119017, Russia

    I. I. Mokhov & A. V. Timazhev

  2. Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991, Russia

    I. I. Mokhov

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  1. I. I. Mokhov
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  2. A. V. Timazhev
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Correspondence to I. I. Mokhov.

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Original Russian Text © I.I. Mokhov, A.V. Timazhev, 2017, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2017, No. 10, pp. 22-33.

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Mokhov, I.I., Timazhev, A.V. Assessing the probability of El Niño-related weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 42, 635–643 (2017). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373917100028

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