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Long-range forecasting of the dates of the stable 8°C crossing in average daily air temperature in the Volga Federal District

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Abstract

Physical principles are considered of asynchronous long-period relationships between the thermal state of the North Atlantic and the dates of the stable average daily air temperature crossing 8°C in spring and autumn in the Volga Federal District. The methodology and the results are discussed of testing the informativeness of the fields of sea surface temperature anomalies for long-range forecasting of the dates of the stable average daily air temperature crossing 8°C in the district.

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Correspondence to N. A. Vazhnova.

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Original Russian Text © N.A. Vazhnova, M.A. Vereshchagin, 2017, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2017, No. 1, pp. 56-66.

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Vazhnova, N.A., Vereshchagin, M.A. Long-range forecasting of the dates of the stable 8°C crossing in average daily air temperature in the Volga Federal District. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 42, 38–45 (2017). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373917010058

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