Russian Meteorology and Hydrology

, Volume 41, Issue 7, pp 497–503 | Cite as

Bayesian prediction of minimum river runoff under nonstationary conditions of future climate change

  • M. V. BolgovEmail author
  • E. A. Korobkina
  • I. A. Filippova


The problem of runoff prediction taking into account the possible climate change is considered using the Bayesian approach. The proposed technique is applied to the probabilistic forecasting of minimum runoff variations on the rivers of the Volga River basin.


Climate change Bayesian approach minimum runoff 


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Copyright information

© Allerton Press, Inc. 2016

Authors and Affiliations

  • M. V. Bolgov
    • 1
    Email author
  • E. A. Korobkina
    • 1
  • I. A. Filippova
    • 1
  1. 1.Water Problems InstituteRussian Academy of SciencesMoscowRussia

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