Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Analysis of the Ural Earthquake of September 4, 2018, Based on the Seismic Entropy Method

  • Published:
Seismic Instruments Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The study examines the preparation of the recent Ural earthquake of September 4, 2018, using the seismic entropy method. Based on the hierarchy of seismic systems, specific features of the occurrence of weak but perceptible earthquakes in intraplate zones are analyzed, and a classification of such seismic systems is given at an energetically lower level. The technology makes it possible to interpret unusual seismicity in the past, to identify the dynamics of slow accumulation and release of stresses over tens and hundreds of years, and to assess the possibility of a stronger earthquake in the future. The conditions for the occurrence of a perceptible earthquake in the area of the Beloyarsk nuclear power plant have been quantitatively studied. It is shown that the seismotectonic features of structures in the Urals cannot lead to preparation of a strong destructive earthquake, but monitoring the occurrence of weak but perceptible earthquakes is important for preventing possible man-made and environmental disasters at industrial facilities and nuclear power plants.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 7.
Fig. 8.

Similar content being viewed by others

REFERENCES

  1. Akopian, S.Ts., Quantitative Description of Seismic Processes in Real Medium and the Algorithm of Long-Term Prediction of Large Earthquakes: By Examples of the Armenian Upland, North-Western Iran, Italy and Central California, Moscow: Triumph Publishing, 2013.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Akopian, S.Ts., Seismic systems of Japan: Entropy and monitoring of the Tohoku earthquake, March 11, 2011, Seism. Instrum., 2014, vol. 50, no. 4, pp. 347–368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Akopian, S.Ts., Open dissipative seismic systems and ensembles of strong earthquakes: Energy balance and entropy funnels, Geophys. J. Int., 2015a, vol. 201, pp. 1618–1641. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggv096

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Akopian, S.Ts., Entropy seismology and its application when shale gas development, Ekspozitsiya Neft’-Gaz, 2015b, vol. 45, no. 6, pp. 40–43.

  5. Akopian, S.Ts., Seismic systems, entropy production law, and ensembles of strong earthquakes, Izv., Phys. Solid Earth, 2016, vol. 52, no. 6, pp. 844–865. https://doi.org/10.1134/S106935131606001X

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Akopian, S.Ts., Entropy seismology with respect to oil and gas development in Northeast China, Neftegaz.RU, 2017, no. 10, pp. 20–25.

  7. Akopian, S.Ts., Entropy, seismicity monitoring in the Armenian Highlands and dynamics of the Akhurian reservoir filling, Seism. Instrum., 2018, vol. 54, no. 1, pp. 113–120. https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923918010024

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Akopian, S.Ts., Double earthquakes, their nature, and forecast by the method of seismic entropy, Seism. Instrum., 2019, vol. 55, no. 2, pp. 196–208. https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923919020026

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Akopian, S.Ts. and Kocharian, A.N., Critical behaviour of seismic systems and dynamics in ensemble of strong earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 2014, vol. 196, pp. 580–599. https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt398

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Akopian, S.Ts. and Rogozhin, E.A., Modeling kinematics of the Tauro-Caucasus region and dynamics of strong (M ≥ 7.1) earthquake preparation, Seism. Instrum., 2015, vol. 50, no. 2, pp. 125–139.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Akopian, S.Ts., Bondur, V.G., and Rogozhin, E.A., Technology for monitoring and forecasting strong earthquakes in Russia with the use of the seismic entropy method, Izv., Phys. Solid Earth, 2017, vol. 53, no. 1, pp. 32–51. https://doi.org/10.1134/S1069351317010025

  12. Bakun, W.H. and Hopper, M.G., Magnitudes and locations of the 1881–1812 New Madrid, Missouri, and the 1886 Charleston, South Carolina, earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2004, vol. 94, no. 1, pp. 64–75.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Hillers, G., Mai, P.M., Ben-Zion, Y., and Ampuero, J.-P., Statistical properties of seismicity of fault zones at different evolutionary stages, Geophys. J. Int., 2007, vol. 169, pp. 513–533.

  14. Kashubin, S.N., Druzhinin, V.S., Gulyaev, A.N., and Utkin, V.I., Seismichnost’ i seismicheskoe raionirovanie Ural’skogo regiona (Seismicity and Seismic Zoning of Uralian Region), Yekaterinburg: Ural. Otd. Ross. Akad. Nauk, 2001.

  15. Normy proektirovaniya seismostoikikh atomnykh stantsii PNAE G-5-006-87 (PNAE G-5-006-87: Norms for Designing Earthquake-Resistant Nuclear Power Plants), Moscow: Energoatomizdat, 1989.

  16. Orlov, A., On earthquakes in lands near the Urals, Tr. O-va Estestvoispyt. Imp. Kazan. Univ., 1873, vol. III, no. 3, pp. 1–7.

    Google Scholar 

  17. Our Urals portal. D o Urals earthquake threatened? Details and a complete list. https://nashural.ru/article/istoriya-urala/zemletr-na-urale/. Accessed May 1, 2019.

  18. Shaw, B.E., Dynamic heterogeneities versus fixed heterogeneities in earthquake models, Geophys. J. Int., 2004, vol. 156, pp. 275–286.

  19. Tuttle, M.P., Schweig, E.S., Sims, J.D., Lafferty, R.H., Wolf, L.W., and Haynes, M.L., The earthquake potential of the New Madrid seismic zone, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 2002, vol. 92, pp. 2080–2089.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, 123995, Moscow, Russia

    S. Ts. Akopian

Authors
  1. S. Ts. Akopian
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. Ts. Akopian.

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Akopian, S.T. Analysis of the Ural Earthquake of September 4, 2018, Based on the Seismic Entropy Method. Seism. Instr. 55, 436–444 (2019). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923919040029

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S0747923919040029

Keywords:

Search

Navigation