Abstract
The paper deals with the quickest detection of the disorder of a Brownian motion on a finite interval. The unknown moment of disorder is assumed to be uniformly distributed on the interval. The Bayesian and absolute criteria are used as optimality tests. The problem is reduced to a classic optimal stopping problem where the optimal stopping time may be obtained as a solution to integral equations. The existence and uniqueness of the solution of integral equations are proved analytically.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
E. Carlstein, H. G. Müller, andD. Siegmund, Change-Point Problems. IMS Lect. Notes Monogr. Ser. 23 (Springer, 1994).
A. N. Shiryaev, “Quickest Detection Problems in the Technical Analysis of the Financial Data,” in Math. Finance Bachelier Congress (Springer, P., 2000), pp. 487-521.
A. N. Shiryaev, Stochastic Sequential Analysis. Optimal Stopping Rules, 2nd ed. (Fizmatlit, Nauka, Moscow, 1976).
G. Peskir and A. N. Shiryaev, Optimal Stopping and Free-Boundary Problems (Birkhäuser, Basel, 2006).
P. V. Gapeev and G. Peskir, “The Wiener Disorder Problem with Finite Horizon,” Stochast. Process. Appl. 116 (12), 1770 (2006).
A. N. Shiryaev, “A Remark on the Quickest Detection Problems,” Statistics and Decisions 22, 79 (2004).
R. Sh. Liptser and A. N. Shiryaev, Statistics of Random, Processes (Nauka, Moscow, 1974) [in Russian].
A. N. Shiryaev, Essentials of Stochastic Financial Mathematics, Vol. 1, 2 (Fasis, Moscow, 1998, 2004) [in Russian].
A. N. Shiryaev, Probabilistic and Statistical Methods in Decision Theory (MCCME, FMEE, Moscow, 2011) [in Russian].
G. Peskir, “A-Change-of-Variable Formula with Local Time on Curves,” J. Theor. Probab. 18 (3), 499 (2005).
M. Yor, “On Some Exponential Functionals of Brownian Motion,” Adv. Appl. Probab. 24, 509 (1992).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Original Russian Text © A.A. Sokko, 2015, published in Vestnik Moskovskogo Universiteta, Matematika. Mekhanika, 2015, Vol. 70, No. 3, pp. 3–11.
About this article
Cite this article
Sokko, A.A. Disorder problem for a Brownian motion on a segment in the case of uniformly distributed moment of disorder. Moscow Univ. Math. Bull. 70, 103–110 (2015). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0027132215030018
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S0027132215030018