Advertisement

On the possible contribution of solar-cosmic factors to the global warming of XX century

  • M. G. Ogurtsov
Article

Abstract

The effect of changes in the total solar irradiance and intensity of galactic cosmic rays on the increase in the global temperature of the Earth over the last 120 years was investigated using a one-dimensional energy-balance climate model. It is shown that the joint effect of solar and cosmic factors during this periodcan lead to an increase in the average temperature of the northern hemisphere by 0.25–0.35°C. It is concluded that the solar luminosity and the cosmic-ray flux can make a significant contribution to the global warming of the last century.

Keywords

Global Warming Solar Activity Greenhouse Effect Radiative Forcings Total Solar Irradiance 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. 1.
    Crowley, T.J., Science, 2000, vol. 289, p. 270.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  2. 2.
    Matthews, H.D. et al., Clim. Dyn., 2004, vol. 22, p. 461.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  3. 3.
    Ogurtsov, M.G. and Lindholm, M., Energy Environ., 2006, vol. 17, no. 5, p. 685.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  4. 4.
    Myhre, G. and Myhre, A., J. Clim., 2003, vol. 16, p. 1511.ADSGoogle Scholar
  5. 5.
    Andronova, N.G. and Schlesinger, M.E., J. Geophys. Res., 2001, vol. 106, no. D19, p. 22 605.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  6. 6.
    Svensmark, H., Phys. Rev. Lett. 1998, vol. 22, p. 5027.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  7. 7.
    Marsh, N.D. and Svensmark, H., Space Sci. Rev., 2000, vol. 94, p. 215.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  8. 8.
    Ogurtsov, M.G., Geomagn. Aeron., 2007, vol. 47, p. 118.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  9. 9.
    Hoyt, D.V. and Schatten, K.H., J. Geophys. Res., 1993, vol. 98, no. A11, p. 18 895.ADSGoogle Scholar
  10. 10.
    Mordvinov, A.V. et al., Sol. Phys., 2004, vol. 224, p. 247.CrossRefADSGoogle Scholar
  11. 11.
    Mursula, K. et al., Ann. Geophys., 2003, vol. 21, p. 863.ADSCrossRefGoogle Scholar
  12. 12.
    Okhlopkov, V.P. and Stozhkov, Yu.I., Izv. Akad. Nauk, Ser. Fiz., 2005, vol. 69, no. 6, p. 887.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Allerton Press, Inc. 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  • M. G. Ogurtsov
    • 1
    • 2
  1. 1.Ioffe Physicotechnical InstituteRussian Academy of SciencesSt. PetersburgRussia
  2. 2.Central Astronomical Observatory at PulkovoRussian Academy of SciencesSt. PetersburgRussia

Personalised recommendations