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Calculation of age-specific fertility schedules from tabulations of parity in two censuses

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Demography

Abstract

The mathematics of stable populations recently has been generalized to cover populations with time-varying fertility and mortality by a modification incorporating the sum of age-varying growth rates in place of the fixed growth rate of a stable population. Equations that characterize nonstable populations apply to any cohort-like phenomenon with a measurable property that cumulates gains or losses through time. In particular, the equations fit the relation between a population’s average parity at a given age and age-specific fertility rates previously experienced at lower ages. Techniques devised to derive an intercensal life table from single-year age distributions in two censuses are adapted to estimate accurate intercensal fertility schedules from distributions of parity by age of woman in two censuses. Birth-order specific fertility schedules are also estimated.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Office of Population Research, Princeton University, 21 Prospect Avenue, 08544, Princeton, New Jersey

    Ansley J. Coale

  2. Food Research Institute, Stanford University, 94305, Stanford, California

    A. Meredith John

  3. The Rand Corporation, 1700 Main Street, 90406, Santa Monica, California

    Toni Richards

Authors
  1. Ansley J. Coale
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  2. A. Meredith John
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  3. Toni Richards
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Coale, A.J., John, A.M. & Richards, T. Calculation of age-specific fertility schedules from tabulations of parity in two censuses. Demography 22, 611–623 (1985). https://doi.org/10.2307/2061591

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2061591

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