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Demography

, Volume 34, Issue 4, pp 481–491 | Cite as

Migration, fertility, and state policy in Hubei Province, China

  • Alice GoldsteinEmail author
  • Michael White
  • idney Goldstein
Fertility and Contraception

Abstract

Despite China s one-child family planning policy, the nation experienced a slight rise in the birth rate in the mid-1980s. Many observers attributed this rise to the heightened fertility of those rural-to-urban migrants who moved without a change in registration (temporary migrants), presumably to avoid the surveillance of family planning programs at origin and destination. Using a sequential logit analysis with life-history data from a 1988 survey of Hubei Province, we test this possibility by comparing nonmigrants, permanent migrants, and temporary migrants. While changing family planning policies have a strong impact on timing of first birth and on the likelihood of higher-order births, migrants generally do not have more children than nonmigrants. In fact, migration tends to lower the propensity to have a child. More specifically, the fertility of temporary migrants does not differ significantly from that of other women.

Keywords

Economic Reform Hubei Province Birth Interval Temporary Migrant Urban Place 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Population Association of America 1997

Authors and Affiliations

  • Alice Goldstein
    • 1
    Email author
  • Michael White
    • 1
  • idney Goldstein
    • 1
  1. 1.Population Studies and Training CenterBrown UniversityProvidence

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