, Volume 34, Issue 4, pp 481–491 | Cite as

Migration, fertility, and state policy in Hubei Province, China

  • Alice GoldsteinEmail author
  • Michael White
  • idney Goldstein
Fertility and Contraception


Despite China s one-child family planning policy, the nation experienced a slight rise in the birth rate in the mid-1980s. Many observers attributed this rise to the heightened fertility of those rural-to-urban migrants who moved without a change in registration (temporary migrants), presumably to avoid the surveillance of family planning programs at origin and destination. Using a sequential logit analysis with life-history data from a 1988 survey of Hubei Province, we test this possibility by comparing nonmigrants, permanent migrants, and temporary migrants. While changing family planning policies have a strong impact on timing of first birth and on the likelihood of higher-order births, migrants generally do not have more children than nonmigrants. In fact, migration tends to lower the propensity to have a child. More specifically, the fertility of temporary migrants does not differ significantly from that of other women.


Economic Reform Hubei Province Birth Interval Temporary Migrant Urban Place 
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Copyright information

© Population Association of America 1997

Authors and Affiliations

  • Alice Goldstein
    • 1
    Email author
  • Michael White
    • 1
  • idney Goldstein
    • 1
  1. 1.Population Studies and Training CenterBrown UniversityProvidence

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