Demography

, Volume 15, Issue 4, pp 499–507 | Cite as

Estimating the intrinsic rate of increase of population from the average numbers of younger and older sisters

  • Noreen Goldman
Article

Abstract

Based on stable population theory, a mathematical relationship is developed between the intrinsic rate of increase (r) of a population and the ratio (Z) of the average number of younger sisters ever born to the average number of older sisters ever born, for a random sample of women in the population. This mathematical formula is then converted into a technique for estimating r from data on numbers of sisters. The extent to which the technique may be generalizable to actual populations is discussed.

Keywords

Stable Population Intrinsic Rate Young Sister Fertility Schedule Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process 

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Bourgeois-Pichat, Jean. 1958. Utilisation de la Notion de Population Stable Pour Mesurer la Mortalité et la Fécondité des Populations des Pays Sous-Développes. Bulletin de l’Institut International de Statistique (Stockholm, Actes de la 30° Session) 36:94–121.Google Scholar
  2. Coale, Ansley J., and P. Demeny. 1966. Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
  3. —, and P. Demeny. 1967. Methods of Estimating Basic Demographic Measures From Incomplete Data. Manuals on Methods of Estimating Population, Manual 4. ST/SOA/Series A/42. New York: United Nations.Google Scholar
  4. —, and T. J. Trussell. 1974. Model Fertility Schedules: Variations in the Age Structure of Childbearing in Human Populations. Population Index 40:185–258.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  5. Goldman, Noreen. 1977. The Demography of Kin. Unpublished D. Sc. dissertation. Cambridge, Mass.: Department of Population Sciences, Harvard University.Google Scholar
  6. Goodman, L. A., N. Keyfitz, and T. W. Pullum. 1974. Family Formation and the Frequency of Various Kinship Relationships. Theoretical Population Biology 5:1–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  7. —, N. Keyfitz, and T. W. Pullum. 1975. Addendum to “Family Formation and the Frequency of Various Kinship Relationships.” Theoretical Population Biology 8:376–381.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
  8. Keyfitz, Nathan. 1968. Introduction to the Mathematics of Population. Reading, Mass.: Addison Wesley Publishing Company.Google Scholar
  9. —. 1977. Applied Mathematical Demography. New York: John Wiley and Sons.Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Population Association of America 1978

Authors and Affiliations

  • Noreen Goldman
    • 1
  1. 1.Office of Population ResearchPrinceton UniversityPrinceton

Personalised recommendations