Abstract
Healthcare decision makers and pharmaceutical companies are increasingly using techniques of economic evaluation, particularly modelling, to assist them in their decisions about drug purchasing and drug development. The use of models in other types of policy decisions is also well established. One option, to shorten the time to a purchasing decision, would be for an interim decision for approval for reimbursement to be based on an economic model. Such a system would mainly benefit the drug development process and thus the pharmaceutical industry; however the approach could also lead to poor decision making, unethical marketing and withdrawal of drugs from the consumer. In this article, we consider the option of a two-stage economic appraisal process from the point of view of the seller, the purchaser and the patient and public. Although a two-stage process may offer some advantages in terms of early return on investment and access, there are significant disadvantages in terms of certainty about effects and public policy and expenditure.
Until there are better methods of predicting the effectiveness of a new product, it is unlikely that interim decisions can be seen as a reasonable health policy alternative, although it seems likely that industry may continue to lobby for such an approach.
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Acknowledgements
Suzanne Hill is the Director of the Newcastle Evaluation Group, Newcastle University (Australia), which has a contract with the Australian Commonwealth Department of Health and Aged Care to provide appraisals of pharmacoeconomic evaluations for the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee. Nick Freemantle has conducted research and provided advice to a range of pharmaceutical companies, government agencies and charitable bodies for which he has received fees and expenses. No specific grants were provided for this article.
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Hill, S., Freemantle, N. A Role for Two-Stage Pharmacoeconomic Appraisal?. Pharmacoeconomics 21, 761–767 (2003). https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200321110-00001
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200321110-00001