Abstract
The source parameters and dimensions of the tow strongest earthquakes (July 1, 1829, I o = VII–VIII EMS; October 15, 1834, I o = IX EMS) in Érmellék area are estimated as follows
The average recurrence that we may expect an earthquake of M ≥ 0.7 every 1 year, an earthquake of M ≥ 2.9 every 10 years and an earthquake of M ≥ 5.0 every 100 years in this source zone. The probabilistic seismic hazard assessment predicts 1.1–1.4 m/cm2 peak ground accelerations, and 6.3–7.4 maximum (theoretical) earthquake intensity values with 10% chance of exceedance for an exposure time of 100 years in the area.
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Zsíros, T. Érmellék seismic source zone. Acta Geod. Geoph. Hung 41, 237–247 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1556/AGeod.41.2006.2.8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1556/AGeod.41.2006.2.8