Abstract
A numerical analysis of a few-parameter nonlinear model of regional large-scale cyclogenesis is performed, which makes it possible to investigate the role of solar activity, solar-terrestrial relations, El Nino, and other factors in the seasonal behavior of cyclogenesis. It was shown that, the few-parameter nonlinear model allows the realization of different scenarios of the temporal dynamics of regional large-scale tropical cyclogenesis, which can be achieved by adjusting the model parameters. For example, it is possible to simulate the formation of a different number of tropical cyclones with different characteristics in the active season, i.e., to describe the intensity of cyclogenesis with a variable number of crisis events.
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Original Russian Text © N.S. Erokhin, N.N. Zol’nikova, L.A. Mikhailovskaya, 2011, published in Khimicheskaya Fizika, 2011, Vol. 30, No. 5, pp. 80–83.
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Erokhin, N.S., Zol’nikova, N.N. & Mikhailovskaya, L.A. Chemical physics of tropical cyclogenesis. Russ. J. Phys. Chem. B 5, 431–434 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1990793111030031
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1990793111030031