Skip to main content
Log in

Energy Transition in the United States, Europe and China: Latest Trends

  • MACROECONOMIC PROBLEMS
  • Published:
Studies on Russian Economic Development Aims and scope

Abstract—

The article analyzes the energy transformation trends in the three largest economic centers that set the dynamics of the global energy transition. It is concluded that the structure and speed of the energy transition are determined by the specific conditions of development and the individual characteristics of countries and integration associations. The United States has set a course for the accelerated development of “green energy,” which has taken a central place in industrial policy. Particular attention is paid to the development of natural solutions for the purposes of decarbonization. In Europe, the energy crisis that began in the second half of 2021 is far from over. The European Commission and industry regulators believe that the fundamental cause of the crisis lies in the insufficient speed of the energy transition and are trying to force it through the advancing development of wind and solar generation and mechanisms such as greenhouse gas emissions trading and cross-border carbon regulation. Faced with the problem of maintaining sufficiently high economic growth rates, China, on the one hand, continues to rely on coal energy, on the other hand, it is rapidly building generating capacities on new renewable energy sources. The PRC is also experimenting with climate policy mechanisms such as carbon trading and natural solutions. The modern energy transition is developing in the expectation that large-scale and diverse state support will allow, by the end of this decade, to create effective market solutions in key technologies that support the transition. The United States and China are taking a more pragmatic course and relying more on market solutions. In Europe, ideological attitudes have a strong influence on the energy transition.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 3.
Fig. 4.
Fig. 5.
Fig. 6.
Fig. 7.
Fig. 8.
Fig. 9.

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. The authors are preparing for publication a special study on the transformation of energy in the EU countries in 2021–2022.

REFERENCES

  1. BP Statistical Review of World Energy – all data. 1965–2021. https://www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/energy-economics/statistical-review-of-world-energy/-downloads.html.

  2. Global Carbon Atlas. http://www.globalcarbonatlas.org/en/CO2-emissions.

  3. C. McKerracher, The World’s Electric Vehicle Fleet Will Soon Surpass 20 Million (April 8, 2022.). https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-08/plug-in-ev-fleet-will-soon-hit-a-20-million-milestone?srnd=green.

  4. O. B. Reznikova, M. V. Sinitsyn, and I. Z. Gakhokidze, “Long-term scenarios for the development of the global electric power industry: main trends and uncertainties,” Kontury Global. Transform.: Politika, Ekon., Pravo 2 (15), 33–48 (2022). https://doi.org/10.31249/kgt/2022.02.02

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. “Global carbon budget 2022,” Earth Syst. Sci. Data 14, 4811–4900 (2022). https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4811-2022

  6. A. Rivera, B. King, J. Larsen, and K. Larsen, Preliminary US Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimates for 2022, January 10, 2023. https://rhg.com/research/us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-2022/.

  7. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review, December 2022. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/.

  8. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Short-Term Energy Outlook. January 10, 2023. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/.

  9. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Levelized Costs of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook. 2022, March 2022. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf.

  10. Lazard, Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis—Version 15.0, October 2021. https://www.lazard.com/media/451905/lazards-levelized-cost-of-energy-version-150-vf.pdf.

  11. F. Ueckerdt, L. Hirth, G. Luderer, et al., “System LCOE: What are the costs of variable renewables?,” Energy 63, 61–75 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2013.10.072

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. R. Idel, Levelized Full System Costs of Electricity, February 2022. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4028640. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4028640

  13. U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electric Generator Construction Costs 2013–2020. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/generatorcosts/.

  14. E. Wong, Trump Has Called Climate Change a Chinese Hoax. Beijing Says It Is Anything But. November 18, 2016. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/19/world/asia/-china-trump-climate-change.html.

  15. The Long-Term Strategy of the United States: Pathways to Net-Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050. Published by the United States Department of State and the United States Executive Office of the President, Washington DC, November 2021. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/-2021/10/US-Long-Term-Strategy.pdf.

  16. S. Kahn and R. Gunn-Wright, All Economic Policy Is Climate Policy: Tools for a Post-Neoliberal Green Transition, May 11, 2022. https://rooseveltinstitute.org/publications/all-economic-policy-is-climate-policy/.

  17. R. Artecona and H. Velloso, Towards a new industrial policy. The United States economic policy agenda post-COVID-19. Studies and Perspectives series, ECLAC Office in Washington DC, No. 22 (LC/TS.2022/152-LC/WAS/TS.2022/3), Santiago, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), 2022. https://www.cepal.org/sites/default/-files/news/files/-towards_a_new_industrial_policy.pdf.

  18. Remarks by Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen at the 2022 “Virtual Davos Agenda” Hosted by the World Economic Forum. January 21, 2022. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0565.

  19. Treeprint, US Inflation Reduction Act—A tipping point in climate action, Credit Suisse, November 30, 2022. https://www.credit-suisse.com/about-us-news/en/articles/news-and-expertise/us-inflation-reduction-act-a-catalyst-for-climate-action-202211.html.

  20. J. Larsen, B. King, H. Kolus, et al., A Turning Point for US Climate Progress: Assessing the Climate and Clean Energy Provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, Rhodium Group, August 12, 2022. https://rhg.com/research/climate-clean-energy-inflation-reduction-act/.

  21. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Summary. Energy and Climate Provisions, Bipartisan Policy Center, 2022. https://bipartisanpolicy.org/blog/inflation-reduction-act-summary-energy-climate-provisions/.

  22. S. Hendrickson and B. Sims, US Inflation Reduction Act Aims to Give Carbon Capture A Boost, But Will It Take Off?, October 19, 2022. https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/us-inflation-reduction-act-aims-to-give-carbon-capture-a-boost-but-will-it-take-off/.

  23. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, August 27, 2022. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/news-media/latest-news/ira2022/.

  24. J. D. Jenkins, E. N. Mayfield, J. Farbes, et al., Preliminary Report: The Climate and Energy Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, REPEAT Project, Princeton, NJ, 2022. https://zenodo.org/record/7106218#.Y9QsMK1Bw-k. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7106218

    Book  Google Scholar 

  25. Investment implications of U.S. transition policy, Black Rock Investment Institute, January 2023. https://www.blackrock.com/us/individual/insights/-blackrock-investment-institute/publications/us-transition-policy-implications/.

  26. A. B. Lovins, “US nuclear power: Status, prospects, and climate implications,” Electr. J. 35 (4), 107122 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tej.2022.107122

  27. M. O’Boyle, D. Esposito, and M. Solomon, Implementing the Inflation Reduction Act: a Roadmap for State Electricity Policy, Energy Innovation Policy and Technology LLC, October 2022. https://energyinnovation.org/publication/implementing-the-inflation-reduction-act-a-roadmap-for-state-electricity-policy/.

  28. FACT SHEET: Biden-Harris Administration Announces Roadmap for Nature-Based Solutions to Fight Climate Change, Strengthen Communities, and Support Local Economies, November 8, 2022. https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/11/08/fact-sheet-biden-%E2%81%A0harris-administration-announces-roadmap-for-nature-based-solutions-to-fight-climate-change-strengthen-communities-and-support-local-economies/.

  29. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the European Council, the Counsil, the European Economic and social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. The European Green Deal. COM/2019/640 final. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX :52019DC0640.

  30. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Counsil, the European Economic and social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. Commission Work Programme 2021. COM (2020) 690 final. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52020DC0690-&rid=3.

  31. European Climate Law. https://climate.ec.europa.eu/eu-action/european-green-deal/european-climate-law_en.

  32. European Commission, European Green Deal: Commission proposes transformation of EU economy and society to meet climate ambitions, July 14, 2021. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/-en/IP_21_3541.

  33. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the European Council, the Counsil, the European Economic and social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. REPowerEU Plan. COM (2022) 230 final. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=COM%3A2022%3A230%3AFIN&qid=1653033742483.

  34. ENTSO-E Transparency Platform. https://transparency.entsoe.eu.

  35. International Carbon Action Partnership. https://icapcarbonaction.com/en/ets-prices/.

  36. European Commission. COM (2021) 564 final 2021/0214 (COD) Proposal for a Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism (Text with EEA relevance), July 14, 2021. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:a95a4441-e558-11eb-a1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_1&format=PDF.

  37. European Commission, COM (2021) 564 final Annexes 1 to 5 to the Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism, July 14, 2021. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:a95a4441-e558-11eb-a1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_2&format=PDF.

  38. European Commission, SWD (2021) 643 final Part 1/2 Commission Staff Working Document Impact Assessment Report accompanying the document Proposal for a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism, July 14, 2021. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:be5a8c64-e558-11eb-a1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_1&format=PDF.

  39. European Commission, SWD (2021) 643 final Part 2/2 Commission Staff Working Document Impact Assessment Report accompanying the document Proposal for a regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a carbon border adjustment mechanism, July 14, 2021. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:be5a8c64-e558-11eb-a1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_2&format=PDF.

  40. European Green Deal: Agreement reached on the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), December 13, 2022. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_7719.

  41. EU Taxonomy: Commission welcomes the result of today’s vote by the European Parliament on the Complementary Delegated Act, July 6, 2022. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_22_4349.

  42. S. V. Zhukov, I. A. Kopytin, and A. M. Popad’ko, “Limits of integration of new renewable energy sources in the electric power industry of the EU countries: Economic aspects,” Kontury Global. Transform.: Politika, Ekon., Pravo 16 (1), 203–223 (2022). https://doi.org/10.23932/2542-0240-2022-15-1-10

  43. I. A. Kopytin, A. O. Maslennikov, and S. V. Zhukov, “Europe in world natural gas market: International transmission of European price shocks,” Int. J. Energy Econ. Policy 12 (3), 8–15 (2022). https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.12941

  44. Q. Liu, Q. Lei, H. Xu, et al., “China’s energy revolution strategy into 2030,” Resour., Conserv. Recycl. 128, 78–89 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2017.09.028

    Article  Google Scholar 

  45. A. Tay, “By the numbers: China’s net-zero ambitions,” Nature. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-00802-3. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00802-3

  46. Asian Energy Scenarios 2030, Ed. by S. V. Zhukov (Master, Moscow, 2012) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  47. M. V. Sinitsyn, “The end of the era of thermal coal,” Mir. Ekon. Mezhdunar. Otnosheniya 65 (11), 40–48 (2021). https://doi.org/10.20542/0131-2227-2021-65-11-40-48

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Action Plan for Carbon Dioxide Peaking Before 2030, The Communist Party of China Central Committee and the State Council, October 27, 2021. http://www.news.cn/english/2021-10/27/c_131027-0985.htm.

  49. Working Guidance for Carbon Dioxide Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in Full and Faithful Implementation of the New Development Philosophy, The Communist Party of China Central Committee and the State Council. October 24, 2021. http://www.news.cn/english/2021-10/24/c_1310265726.htm.

  50. China Statistical Yearbook. http://www.stats.gov.-cn/tjsj/ndsj/.

  51. International Energy Agency, Coal Market Update, July 2022. https://www.iea.org/reports/coal-market-update-july-2022/demand.

  52. International Energy Agency World Energy Balances. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-product/-world-energy-balances.

  53. M. V. Sinitsyn, “China as a global driver of road transport electrification: Risks for the oil market,” EKO, No. 9, 53–68 (2021). https://doi.org/10.30680/ECO0131-7652-2021-9-53-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  54. Five Year Plan for forests and grassland protection released, August 19, 2021. https://chinadialogue.net/en/digest/five-year-plan-for-forests-and-grassland-protection-released/.

  55. China will aim to plant and conserve 70 billion trees by 2030 as part of the global tree movement, May 25, 2022. https://www.weforum.org/press/2022/05/china-will-aim-to-plant-and-conserve-70-billion-trees-by-2030-as-part-of-the-global-tree-movement/.

  56. China issues first tradable forest carbon credit stamps, May 21, 2021. http://english.scio.gov.cn/chinavoices/2021-05/21/content_77516914.html.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to S. V. Zhukov.

Ethics declarations

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Zhukov, S.V., Reznikova, O.B. Energy Transition in the United States, Europe and China: Latest Trends. Stud. Russ. Econ. Dev. 34, 439–449 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723040160

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700723040160

Keywords:

Navigation